Tampa Bay Lightning at Chicago Blackhawks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-2 in overtime, Alex Killorn scoring at 4:59. The Lightning came back from two goals down. The Blackhawks led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Killorn's goal at 4:59 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 3.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were TBL 34, CHI 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Killorn (1 G, 1 A), 2. Andrei Vasilevskiy (35 saves, .946), 3. Brandon Hagel (1 A).
Three stars
- ★A. Killorn1 G, 1 A

- ★★A. Vasilevskiy35 saves, .946

- ★★★B. Hagel1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
0-17:24
0-214:04
3rd period
1-21:04
2-22:55
Overtime
3-24:59
Penalties
1st
- 17:58
Blake Coleman · Slashingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min
2nd
- 5:54
Philipp Kurashev · Slashingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
- 19:55
Alexander Volkov · High stickingdrawn by Carl Soderberg2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Alex Killorn, OT 4:59 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.13 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.4
- 1.92 G
- Even strength
- 1 G3.0
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
- 0.11 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.08 – 3.35
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 37
- 60%
- Faceoffs
- 40%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 41
- Hits
- 30
- 29
- Blocked shots
- 20
- 15
- Giveaways
- 8
- 9
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






