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Blackhawks at Lightning
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
2
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸5
FinalTV ESPN+, SUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ondrej Palat's goal at 2:25 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals were close — CHI 3.8, TBL 3.6; shots on goal were CHI 37, TBL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Collin Delia stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 1.4 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (35 saves, .946), 2. Blake Coleman (1 G, 1 A), 3. Victor Hedman.

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy35 saves, .946
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Coleman1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    V. Hedman

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI013212012237
TBLTBL010317210537

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. TBL
    O. Palat(2)
    S. Stamkos (3)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    2:25
  2. TBL
    A. Killorn(1)
    T. Johnson (1), A. Cirelli (2)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    4:43
  3. TBL
    B. Coleman(1)
    B. Goodrow (1), Y. Gourde (1)
    tip-inxG 0.23win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    8:11
  4. CHI
    A. DeBrincat(1)PPG
    D. Strome (1), A. Boqvist (2)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    14:20
  5. CHI
    P. Kane(1)
    A. DeBrincat (1)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    2-3
    16:11

3rd period

  1. TBL
    Y. Gourde(1)
    B. Coleman (1), B. Goodrow (2)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    2-4
    13:32
  2. TBL
    S. Stamkos(2)
    O. Palat (1), B. Point (2)
    snapxG 0.03
    2-5
    17:38

Penalties

CHI 6 PIM·TBL 8 PIM

1st

  • 12:28CHIDuncan Keith · Holdingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min

2nd

  • 8:11CHIserved by D. Strome · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 13:29TBLBarclay Goodrow · Trippingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 19:37TBLAlex Killorn · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Shaw2 min

3rd

  • 2:09TBLBrayden Point · Holdingdrawn by David Kampf2 min
  • 9:50CHIDavid Kampf · Hookingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min
  • 14:40TBLMikhail Sergachev · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Shaw2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalCHI goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Ondrej Palat, 2nd 2:25 — TBL 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Palat · Goal · xG 0.27B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.23S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.17V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.15V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.14A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.13B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.13S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.12Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.12Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.11A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.11P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.10A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.10J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.10B. Point · Missed · xG 0.10M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.09M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.09B. Point · On goal · xG 0.09T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.09E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.08B. Point · On goal · xG 0.08A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.08B. Point · On goal · xG 0.07B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.07B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.06S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.05M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.05B. Point · On goal · xG 0.05P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.05V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.04V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.04E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.03T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.03B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.03B. Point · On goal · xG 0.03S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.03L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.02L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL5 G · 3.6 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsTBL
3.82 G
All situations
5 G3.6
2.91 G
Even strength
5 G2.8
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI53%47%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.74 – 3.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsTBL
37
Shots on goal
37
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
8
Hits
14
6
Blocked shots
8
2
Giveaways
3
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD000-120.05032—23:45
5C. MurphyD000000.00000—20:43
16N. ZadorovD000-100.00210—19:55
44C. de HaanD000-230.40100—19:25
13M. JanmarkC000-130.2500010018:34
88P. KaneR101-220.17000—17:58
71L. WallmarkC000-110.151004217:21
24P. SuterC000-240.450004417:13
12A. DeBrincatR112-220.3201010017:02
27A. BoqvistD011-100.05000—16:49
8D. KubalikL000030.44000—15:53
17D. StromeC011060.660006215:42
65A. ShawR000-120.152005015:38
23P. KurashevC000-120.21000013:51
64D. KampfC000-130.150024312:12
22R. CarpenterC000-110.19110012:11
51I. MitchellD000-320.02000—11:48
36M. HighmoreC000010.09100008:45
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60C. Delia(L)37325.8653.56-1.4460:00

Season series

TBL leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).