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Lightning at Blackhawks
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV NBCSN, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Chicago Blackhawks 6-3. The Lightning came back from three goals down. The Lightning led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yanni Gourde's goal at 16:55 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 50% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were TBL 39, CHI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.7 goals below expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 33 of 39 (.846), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Yanni Gourde (2 G, 2 A), 2. Victor Hedman (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ondrej Palat (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    Y. Gourde2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    V. Hedman1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    O. Palat1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL07416216639
CHICHI2101609325

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:51
  2. CHI
    D. Kubalik (11), P. Kane (27)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    15:34

2nd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.25win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    3:11
  2. TBL
    O. Palat(10)PPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    3:51
  3. TBL
    wristxG 0.27win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    4:14
  4. TBL
    V. Hedman(5)PPG
    B. Point (14), O. Palat (10)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    3-3
    7:51
  5. TBL
    Y. Gourde(8)PPG
    slapxG 0.05win prob +19 pts
    4-3
    16:55

3rd period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    5-3
    14:25
  2. TBL
    P. Maroon(3)PPG
    backhandxG 0.12
    6-3
    17:25

Penalties

TBL 10 PIM·CHI 18 PIM

1st

  • 13:50TBLPatrick Maroon · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Highmore2 min

2nd

  • 1:04TBLCal Foote · Trippingdrawn by David Kampf2 min
  • 3:40CHIBrandon Hagel · Hookingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 6:51CHIIan Mitchell · Hookingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 9:27CHIConnor Murphy · Match penatly 10 minutesdrawn by Erik Cernak10 min
  • 12:14TBLVictor Hedman · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Carpenter2 min
  • 15:08CHIMattias Janmark · High stickingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 17:21TBLBarclay Goodrow · Trippingdrawn by Adam Boqvist2 min

3rd

  • 9:41TBLRyan McDonagh · Slashingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 15:57CHIDuncan Keith · Hookingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalTBL goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Yanni Gourde, 2nd 16:55 — TBL 50% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.26P. Suter · Goal · xG 0.25B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.16A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.15A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.12D. Keith · Missed · xG 0.12A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.11P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.10P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.10M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.09R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kurashev · Goal · xG 0.09M. Janmark · Goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.08R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.07A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.07D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.04P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.01M. Highmore · Missed · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.01I. Mitchell · On goal · xG 0.00D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 2.3 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsCHI
3.96 G
All situations
3 G2.3
2.42 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.94 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.60 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL75%25%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.87 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsCHI
39
Shots on goal
25
46%
Faceoffs
54%
4/5
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
18
20
Hits
15
14
Blocked shots
10
15
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD112-140.09232—28:35
98M. SergachevD011-100.00110—24:34
27R. McDonaghD011+230.05222—21:10
91S. StamkosC011+230.310005620:34
21B. PointC011020.422101319:33
17A. KillornL101+130.34200—19:20
18O. PalatL112040.49130—18:28
37Y. GourdeC224+250.591005017:58
71A. CirelliC011000.170103317:27
52C. FooteD000-130.18112—16:46
20B. ColemanL000040.46310—14:15
19B. GoodrowC000-120.121025713:53
9T. JohnsonC000020.190107512:51
81E. CernakD011+110.12000—11:28
5A. BorgmanD000-100.00100—10:29
14P. MaroonL101-120.25002—08:11
7M. JosephR011-100.002005007:53
92A. VolkovR000-110.13100—06:51
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)25223.8802.30-0.7060:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).