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Rangers at Stars
NHL

New York Rangers at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
▸4
Dallas Stars
2
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-SW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Dallas Stars 4-2. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mika Zibanejad's goal at 10:12 of the first period, which took the Rangers' chances from 59% to 75%. Expected goals were close — NYR 2.7, DAL 2.7; shots on goal were NYR 27, DAL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Ben Bishop stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kaapo Kakko (2 G), 2. Adam Fox (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mika Zibanejad (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    K. Kakko2 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Fox1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR2102908427
DALDAL09011213233

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    A. Fox(8)
    A. Panarin (62)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:19
  2. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(40)
    B. Lemieux (12), P. Buchnevich (30)
    snapxG 0.28win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    10:12

2nd period

  1. NYR
    K. Kakko(9)
    B. Howden (10), J. Fast (17)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    7:03
  2. NYR
    K. Kakko(10)
    M. Zibanejad (34), A. Fox (32)
    backhandxG 0.33win prob +3 pts
    4-0
    17:18

3rd period

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(19)PPG
    M. Heiskanen (26), C. Perry (16)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    1:23
  2. DAL
    A. Cogliano(3)
    M. Heiskanen (27), J. Pavelski (17)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +3 pts
    4-2
    11:52

Penalties

NYR 15 PIM·DAL 13 PIM

1st

  • 13:22NYRJacob Trouba · Trippingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 13:46DALDenis Gurianov · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
  • 13:46NYRRyan Lindgren · Roughingdrawn by Denis Gurianov2 min
  • 13:46DALDenis Gurianov · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
  • 16:32DALBlake Comeau · Trippingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min

2nd

  • 11:20DALJamie Benn · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Smith5 min
  • 11:20NYRBrendan Smith · Fightingdrawn by Jamie Benn5 min
  • 13:30DALAndrew Cogliano · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
  • 13:30NYRRyan Lindgren · Slashingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 19:45NYRPhillip Di Giuseppe · Trippingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min

3rd

  • 15:30NYRBrendan Smith · Trippingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalNYR goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Mika Zibanejad, 1st 10:12 — NYR 59% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Cogliano · Goal · xG 0.32M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.17R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.16A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.15B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.14R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.13R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.12J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.11J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.10J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.10R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.10R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.09M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.09J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.08D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.08R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.07M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.06A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.06D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.06R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.05J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.04J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.04S. Johns · Missed · xG 0.03R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.02C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.02A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.02S. Johns · Missed · xG 0.02B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.00M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.00J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 2.7 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsDAL
2.74 G
All situations
2 G2.7
2.14 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.60 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR51%49%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 2.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsDAL
27
Shots on goal
33
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
1/3
15
Penalty minutes
13
17
Hits
23
14
Blocked shots
14
11
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. TroubaD000020.21522—24:48
93M. ZibanejadC112+240.640205621:39
23A. FoxD112+310.17100—20:34
10A. PanarinL011+110.34100—20:01
18M. StaalD000+100.02100—19:38
16R. StromeC000+120.050003818:56
77T. DeAngeloD000020.17110—18:49
42B. SmithD000020.03017—18:26
17J. FastR011+200.00120—18:04
55R. LindgrenD000+220.02204—17:31
89P. BuchnevichL011+210.01000—16:46
48B. LemieuxL011+130.2340010014:17
21B. HowdenC011000.000003312:51
14G. McKeggC000000.001007512:42
24K. KakkoR202+130.50000—11:22
12J. GauthierR000-110.31030—10:57
33P. Di GiuseppeL000030.02032—09:55
72F. ChytilC000000.000002005:32
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)33312.9392.73+0.7360:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).