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Dallas Stars at New York Rangers

FinalTV ESPN+, FS-SW+·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the New York Rangers 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Stars led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Stephen Johns's goal at 7:52 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.6 to 2.7; shots on goal were DAL 21, NYR 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Henrik Lundqvist stopped 11 of 15 (.733), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joe Pavelski (2 G), 2. Stephen Johns (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brendan Lemieux (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Pavelski2 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    S. Johns1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    B. Lemieux1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL272816521
NYRNYR21308115336

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.02win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    2:29
  2. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    8:08
  3. DAL
    J. Benn (13), T. Seguin (27)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +9 pts
    2-1
    8:24
  4. NYR
    B. Howden(7)PPG
    snapxG 0.36win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    15:41

2nd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.02win prob +18 pts
    3-2
    7:52
  2. DAL
    snapxG 0.08win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    11:56

3rd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.22win prob +6 pts
    5-2
    5:22
  2. NYR
    A. Fox (23)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +2 pts
    5-3
    13:17

Penalties

DAL 10 PIM·NYR 12 PIM

1st

  • 1:27DALAndrew Cogliano · Trippingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 7:56NYRBrendan Smith · Interferencedrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 8:08NYRserved by P. Buchnevich · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 13:44DALserved by A. Radulov · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 13:38NYRBrett Howden · Hookingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 13:38DALMiro Heiskanen · Embellishmentdrawn by Brett Howden2 min
  • 18:14NYRAdam Fox · Hookingdrawn by Denis Gurianov2 min
  • 19:27NYRMika Zibanejad · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min

3rd

  • 12:02DALRoope Hintz · Holdingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min
  • 19:00NYRBrendan Lemieux · Interferencedrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 19:00DALJamie Benn · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalDAL goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Stephen Johns, 2nd 7:52 — DAL 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Howden · Goal · xG 0.37R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.23M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.23R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.20P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.11B. Lemieux · Goal · xG 0.10P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.10F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.10F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.07R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.07P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.06P. Di Giuseppe · Missed · xG 0.06F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.05B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.03R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.00P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.00J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR3 G · 2.7 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsNYR
3.65 G
All situations
3 G2.7
1.63 G
Even strength
0 G1.2
0.82 G
Power play
3 G1.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL46%54%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 2.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsNYR
21
Shots on goal
36
46%
Faceoffs
54%
2/4
Power play
3/3
10
Penalty minutes
12
21
Hits
27
18
Blocked shots
11
5
Giveaways
12
11
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23E. LindellD000+110.10020—25:48
4M. HeiskanenD000010.05112—22:39
3J. KlingbergD011000.20010—21:15
91T. SeguinC022+130.361005717:51
16J. PavelskiC202041.140105617:36
5A. SekeraD011+120.01120—17:00
14J. BennL022000.00202—16:18
47A. RadulovR000+100.10010—16:16
2J. OleksiakD000+110.01410—16:06
18J. DickinsonC011+200.601104415:50
12R. FaksaC011+110.220304614:28
28S. JohnsD112+320.03830—13:53
34D. GurianovR000+210.14110—13:43
13M. JanmarkC011000.00010013:33
10C. PerryR101+120.33100—13:17
15B. ComeauL101+120.15000—13:06
11A. CoglianoC000000.00002012:10
24R. HintzC000010.111025011:57
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(W)36333.9172.69-0.3160:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).