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Red Wings at Islanders
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
1
New York Islanders
▸4
FinalTV FS-D, MSG+·NYCB Live/Nassau Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Eberle's goal at 17:02 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 74% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were DET 22, NYI 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jonathan Bernier stopped 36 of 39 (.923), 0.6 goals below expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Eberle (3 G), 2. Mathew Barzal (1 A), 3. Semyon Varlamov (21 saves, .955).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    J. Eberle3 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    M. Barzal1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    S. Varlamov21 saves, .955

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0201218122
NYINYI11312126440

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    J. Eberle(11)
    R. Pulock (24), A. Lee (17)
    slapxG 0.20win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:45

2nd period

  1. NYI
    J. Eberle(12)
    M. Barzal (32), A. Beauvillier (20)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    17:02

3rd period

  1. DET
    A. Mantha(13)PPG
    M. Green (8), D. Larkin (28)
    tip-inxG 0.03win prob +5 pts
    1-2
    17:25
  2. NYI
    J. Eberle(13)PPG
    A. Lee (18), A. Greene (11)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +2 pts
    1-3
    19:23
  3. NYI
    L. Komarov(4)EN
    J. Bailey (26), B. Nelson (25)
    wristxG 0.13
    1-4
    19:53

Penalties

DET 10 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:41DETDylan Larkin · Elbowingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 14:02NYIMichael Dal Colle · High stickingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 17:22DETAdam Erne · Slashingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

2nd

  • 18:08DETAlex Biega · Cross checkingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min

3rd

  • 11:31DETMike Green · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:56NYIAndrew Ladd · Trippingdrawn by Darren Helm2 min
  • 17:30DETDylan Larkin · Trippingdrawn by Leo Komarov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalDET goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Eberle, 2nd 17:02 — NYI 74% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.20S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.15J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.14L. Komarov · Goal · xG 0.13J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.12A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.11A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.10M. Dal Colle · On goal · xG 0.10L. Komarov · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.08D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.07S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.07A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.06O. Koivula · On goal · xG 0.06T. Kuhnhackl · On goal · xG 0.06M. Dal Colle · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.05S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.04J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.03B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dal Colle · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.03L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.03J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.01J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dal Colle · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.00S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.00
NYI4 G · 2.6 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNYI
2.01 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.30 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET39%61%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.96 – 2.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNYI
22
Shots on goal
40
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/2
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
29
Hits
33
13
Blocked shots
14
15
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22P. NemethD000-200.00220—22:50
74M. BoweyD000000.00220—22:26
25M. GreenD011-200.11212—21:41
3A. BiegaD000-140.08212—20:36
71D. LarkinC011-240.463146219:07
14R. FabbriC000-220.17200017:26
39A. ManthaR101-210.10000—17:04
41L. GlendeningC000000.013004016:49
81F. NielsenC000010.020305616:41
28G. LindstromD000000.00310—16:22
51V. FilppulaC000-120.151007715:48
43D. HelmC000010.09000015:24
72A. AthanasiouC000-230.32010014:52
59T. BertuzziL000-220.11100—14:43
83T. DaleyD000010.13010—14:08
70C. EhnC000000.135006311:29
73A. ErneL000000.00302—07:31
29B. PerliniL000010.09000—07:16
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45J. Bernier(L)39363.9232.45-0.5557:54

Season series

NYI leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).