Skip to content
Red Wings at Islanders
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
2
New York Islanders
▸8
FinalTV FS-D, MSG+ 2·NYCB Live/Nassau Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Detroit Red Wings 8-2. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Bailey's goal at 3:59 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 66% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.3 to 2.8; shots on goal were DET 36, NYI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 14 of 19 (.737), 3.3 goals below expected; Thomas Greiss stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brock Nelson (2 G), 2. Leo Komarov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Noah Dobson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    B. Nelson2 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    L. Komarov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    N. Dobson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET11209115236
NYINYI4142824826

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    J. Eberle(6)
    M. Barzal (21), A. Lee (13)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:23
  2. NYI
    J. Bailey(9)
    T. Kuhnhackl (2), M. Dal Colle (5)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    3:59
  3. NYI
    B. Nelson(17)
    A. Beauvillier (14)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    7:56
  4. DET
    F. Hronek(9)
    R. Fabbri (12), D. Larkin (20)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    11:45
  5. NYI
    A. Lee(14)
    M. Barzal (22), J. Eberle (16)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    18:30

2nd period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(18)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.27win prob +5 pts
    1-5
    1:59
  2. NYI
    N. Dobson(1)
    R. Pulock (15), L. Komarov (8)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +2 pts
    1-6
    2:40

3rd period

  1. NYI
    A. Beauvillier(11)
    R. Pulock (16), N. Leddy (15)
    tip-inxG 0.06
    1-7
    5:12
  2. NYI
    L. Komarov(1)
    S. Mayfield (8)
    wristxG 0.11
    1-8
    9:07
  3. DET
    G. Smith(1)
    C. Ehn (1), P. Nemeth (7)
    wristxG 0.25
    2-8
    14:00

Penalties

DET 4 PIM·NYI 6 PIM

1st

  • 14:30DETJustin Abdelkader · Trippingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min
  • 14:30NYIserved by M. Dal Colle · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:52NYIBrock Nelson · Cross checkingdrawn by Alex Biega2 min

2nd

  • 4:30DETLuke Glendening · Boardingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min

3rd

  • 14:28NYIRyan Pulock · Roughingdrawn by Darren Helm2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalDET goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Bailey, 1st 3:59 — NYI 66% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.29B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.27J. Bailey · Goal · xG 0.22J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.18J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.15A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.15A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.14M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.14D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.13B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.13A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.12L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.12L. Komarov · Goal · xG 0.11N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.08A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.08M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.06M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.06M. Dal Colle · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.03J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.03N. Dobson · Goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.00J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.00L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI8 G · 2.8 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNYI
3.32 G
All situations
8 G2.8
2.42 G
Even strength
8 G2.5
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET59%41%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.32 – 2.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNYI
36
Shots on goal
26
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
31
Hits
27
5
Blocked shots
14
17
Giveaways
25
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD101-210.10200—23:06
71D. LarkinC011-140.981104521:50
59T. BertuzziL000-130.12200—19:45
32B. LashoffD000010.03100—19:31
25M. GreenD000-400.00500—19:11
3A. BiegaD000030.10110—18:44
14R. FabbriC011-130.27300018:26
22P. NemethD011-300.01100—18:16
74M. BoweyD000-320.06220—17:33
43D. HelmC000-120.04100014:39
8J. AbdelkaderL000030.1801210014:13
81F. NielsenC000-220.040003314:01
11F. ZadinaR000-320.16300—13:38
70C. EhnC011-120.214006013:20
48G. SmithR101-110.25000—13:10
41L. GlendeningC000-230.353026712:20
73A. ErneL000-230.2020010012:15
51V. FilppulaC000-310.22000012:02
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Pickard19145.7371.74-3.2652:04
35J. Howard(L)743.5711.06-1.9407:56

Season series

NYI leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).