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Islanders at Red Wings
NHL

New York Islanders at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV FS-D, MSG+ 2·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Beauvillier's goal at 13:17 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 2.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were NYI 25, DET 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Semyon Varlamov (30 saves, .968), 2. Jordan Eberle (2 G), 3. Mathew Barzal (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    S. Varlamov30 saves, .968
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Eberle2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    M. Barzal1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI2916110425
DETDET01111307131

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    snapxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:46
  2. NYI
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    13:17

2nd period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(7)PPG
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    10:36
  2. NYI
    J. Eberle(1)PPG
    A. Lee (6), N. Leddy (8)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    16:34

3rd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.25win prob +3 pts
    4-1
    13:24

Penalties

NYI 12 PIM·DET 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:12DETDarren Helm · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:08NYIAnthony Beauvillier · Hookingdrawn by Valtteri Filppula2 min
  • 16:31NYIJohnny Boychuk · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

2nd

  • 5:00NYIAnders Lee · High stickingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min
  • 7:43NYIDevon Toews · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:26NYINick Leddy · Holdingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 14:26DETFrans Nielsen · Interferencedrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 14:58DETPatrik Nemeth · Interferencedrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

3rd

  • 2:37NYIOtto Koivula · Trippingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min
  • 16:43DETLuke Glendening · Boardingdrawn by Johnny Boychuk2 min
  • 18:46DETValtteri Filppula · High stickingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalNYI goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Anthony Beauvillier, 1st 13:17 — NYI 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.34D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.16T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.15D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.15A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.14F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.14L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.13F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.12A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.10V. Filppula · Missed · xG 0.10T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.10R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.09A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.09T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.09F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.09T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.08F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Green · On goal · xG 0.05L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.04F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.04T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.04D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.04A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.04D. Cholowski · On goal · xG 0.03M. Green · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.03R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.03A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.02M. Green · Missed · xG 0.02D. Cholowski · Missed · xG 0.02D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.02L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ehn · Missed · xG 0.01A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01M. Green · Missed · xG 0.01F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.00
DET1 G · 2.8 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsDET
2.44 G
All situations
1 G2.8
1.43 G
Even strength
0 G1.8
0.91 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI44%56%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.37 – 2.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsDET
25
Shots on goal
31
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/5
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
10
19
Hits
14
14
Blocked shots
10
14
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD022+320.09120—22:21
2N. LeddyD011010.08112—21:35
13M. BarzalC011+110.060105019:49
29B. NelsonC000040.550207318:58
12J. BaileyR022+210.130005018:54
55J. BoychukD000+110.04132—18:54
3A. PelechD000+200.01010—18:42
27A. LeeL112+130.293125018:24
25D. ToewsD000010.03002—18:14
18A. BeauvillierR101+120.34002—18:06
24S. MayfieldD000010.03110—17:28
53C. CizikasC000+110.013005615:15
10D. BrassardC000020.17010014:08
15C. ClutterbuckR000010.104005013:59
7J. EberleR202+140.43000—12:40
17M. MartinL000000.04210—09:09
47L. KomarovR011+200.00300—08:48
21O. KoivulaL000000.000025004:26
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(W)31301.9682.77+1.7760:00

Season series

NYI leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).