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Penguins at Panthers
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸3
Florida Panthers
2
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, FS-F·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Florida Panthers 3-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brett Connolly's goal at 4:59 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 20% to 36%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.3 to 2.3; shots on goal were PIT 22, FLA 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (1 G), 2. Kris Letang (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mike Hoffman (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    K. Letang1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    M. Hoffman1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT281905322
FLAFLA110114011235

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    K. Letang(12)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    6:30
  2. PIT
    T. Blueger(8)
    J. Johnson (8), K. Letang (24)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    10:44
  3. FLA
    M. Hoffman(21)
    F. Vatrano (14), D. Toninato (7)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    17:22

2nd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(10)PPG
    J. McCann (17), E. Malkin (40)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    3-1
    3:50
  2. FLA
    B. Connolly(17)
    V. Trocheck (23), M. Hoffman (24)
    slapxG 0.19win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    4:59

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·FLA 2 PIM

1st

  • 4:22PITKris Letang · Holdingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 18:42PITMarcus Pettersson · Hookingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min

2nd

  • 2:20FLAFrank Vatrano · Trippingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 16:09PITJuuso Riikola · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalPIT goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Brett Connolly, 2nd 4:59 — FLA 20% → 36%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.21B. Connolly · Goal · xG 0.19E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.19A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.17J. Hawryluk · On goal · xG 0.17M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.16E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.16M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.15J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.14M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.14M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.13M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.12E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.11R. Stillman · Missed · xG 0.09J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.08V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.08D. Toninato · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.05K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.05M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.04E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.04A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02C. Sceviour · Missed · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toninato · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.01A. Stralman · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01R. Stillman · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sceviour · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01
FLA2 G · 3.3 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsFLA
2.33 G
All situations
2 G3.3
1.12 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.80 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT33%67%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.25 – 3.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsFLA
22
Shots on goal
35
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
25
Hits
32
12
Blocked shots
9
5
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD112+150.24432—25:41
3J. JohnsonD011000.00300—23:05
28M. PetterssonD000-120.12202—21:07
71E. MalkinC011010.232104320:08
53T. BluegerC101+130.281204520:04
4J. SchultzD000+100.01000—19:36
17B. RustR000000.11200—18:59
13B. TanevL000+110.59220—18:16
87S. CrosbyC101020.200103117:52
2C. RuhwedelD000010.03010—17:33
46Z. Aston-ReeseL000+100.00100—17:13
72P. HornqvistR000040.31210—17:06
19J. McCannL011020.06200—16:27
12D. SimonC000-100.00300015:29
50J. RiikolaD000000.00002—12:16
37S. LaffertyC000-110.1100010005:24
57A. AngelloC000-100.00110004:53
18A. GalchenyukC000-100.00000003:02
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(W)35332.9433.27+1.2759:49

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).