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Panthers at Penguins
NHL

Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸4
Pittsburgh Penguins
1
FinalTV NHLN, ATTSN-PT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Hoffman's goal at 8:52 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 78% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were FLA 35, PIT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Chris Driedger stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mike Hoffman (1 G, 1 A), 2. Frank Vatrano (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jared McCann (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    M. Hoffman1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    F. Vatrano1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    J. McCann1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA211013211435
PITPIT11001309132

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    F. Vatrano(9)
    M. Hoffman (17)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:28
  2. PIT
    J. McCann(11)
    D. Simon (12), J. Marino (15)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    3:52
  3. FLA
    B. Connolly(16)
    V. Trocheck (17), M. Matheson (6)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    10:44

3rd period

  1. FLA
    M. Hoffman(14)
    F. Vatrano (9), R. Stillman (2)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    8:52
  2. FLA
    E. Dadonov(18)EN
    J. Huberdeau (40)
    wristxG 0.95win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    17:32

Penalties

FLA 18 PIM·PIT 14 PIM

1st

  • 13:13FLAMike Matheson · Cross checkingdrawn by Dominik Kahun2 min
  • 18:02FLADominic Toninato · High stickingdrawn by John Marino2 min
  • 19:09PITJared McCann · Slashingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 19:09FLAFrank Vatrano · Interferencedrawn by Jared McCann2 min

2nd

  • 15:14FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:40PITEvgeni Malkin · Slashingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min

3rd

  • 19:13PITThomas Di Pauli · Misconductdrawn by Dominic Toninato10 min
  • 19:13FLADominic Toninato · Misconductdrawn by Thomas Di Pauli10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalFLA goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Mike Hoffman, 3rd 8:52 — FLA 78% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.19D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.18J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.15P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.14J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.12E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.11A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.11B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.11E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.10P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.09B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.09P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.09B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.08D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.07P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.07E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.06P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.06P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.05P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.05M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.04B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.04A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.04J. Riikola · Missed · xG 0.04E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.03B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.02B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.02T. Di Pauli · Missed · xG 0.02T. Di Pauli · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.01A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.01E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.00D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT1 G · 2.5 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsPIT
3.33 G
All situations
1 G2.5
2.13 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA48%52%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.37 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsPIT
35
Shots on goal
32
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/1
Power play
0/3
18
Penalty minutes
14
21
Hits
26
12
Blocked shots
20
3
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000+130.25010—25:46
19M. MathesonD011+120.05132—24:54
6A. StralmanD000+200.00110—21:39
61R. StillmanD011+130.09030—19:41
55N. AcciariC000000.102208319:10
16A. BarkovC000+130.280005617:37
21V. TrocheckC011020.134007316:29
11J. HuberdeauL011+130.18002—15:30
10B. ConnollyR101030.18200—14:36
3K. YandleD000+130.03000—14:34
77F. VatranoR112+240.26402—14:31
63E. DadonovL101+121.21000—14:16
14D. ToninatoC000+200.0911123313:59
7C. SceviourC000020.17300013:36
2J. BrownD000020.05000—13:21
68M. HoffmanC112+210.07010013:13
62D. MalginC000020.201005711:17
8J. HawrylukR000000.00200—09:51
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60C. Driedger(W)32311.9692.50+1.5060:00

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).