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Ducks at Predators
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
▸4
Nashville Predators
2
FinalTV FS-TN, PRIME·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Nashville Predators 4-2. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rickard Rakell's goal at 9:52 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 66% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 2.9 to 2.2; shots on goal were ANA 27, NSH 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. John Gibson stopped 33 of 35 (.943); Juuse Saros stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Rickard Rakell (1 G, 1 A), 2. John Gibson (33 saves, .943), 3. Ryan Getzlaf (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    R. Rakell1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Gibson33 saves, .943
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    R. Getzlaf2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA2141914427
NSHNSH11401417235

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    J. Manson(1)
    O. Kase (13), C. Fowler (15)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:01
  2. ANA
    A. Henrique(15)PPG
    R. Rakell (16), R. Getzlaf (20)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    12:22
  3. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(11)
    R. Josi (33), R. Grimaldi (15)
    deflectedxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    13:56

2nd period

  1. ANA
    R. Rakell(12)
    R. Getzlaf (21), C. Fowler (16)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    9:52

3rd period

  1. ANA
    D. Grant(10)SHG
    C. Rowney (5), J. Manson (4)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +5 pts
    4-1
    8:03
  2. NSH
    M. Granlund(8)SHG
    J. Tinordi (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +1 pts
    4-2
    15:22

Penalties

ANA 2 PIM·NSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:45NSHDante Fabbro · Hookingdrawn by Chase De Leo2 min

3rd

  • 6:22ANANicolas Deslauriers · Holdingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min
  • 14:36NSHserved by R. Grimaldi · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalANA goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Rickard Rakell, 2nd 9:52 — ANA 66% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.22V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.15C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.11C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.10M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.09C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.08R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.07M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.07C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.06C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.06D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.05C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamhuis · Missed · xG 0.03M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.03C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03K. Turris · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamhuis · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.01J. Tinordi · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.01
NSH2 G · 2.2 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsNSH
2.94 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.52 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.21 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA50%50%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 2.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsNSH
27
Shots on goal
35
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
8
12
Blocked shots
9
4
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47H. LindholmD000-110.66110—23:29
42J. MansonD112+340.11200—23:00
4C. FowlerD022+200.00010—22:17
6E. GudbransonD000-100.00320—21:26
33J. SilfverbergR000-100.03020—18:06
25O. KaseR011+120.05000—17:29
15R. GetzlafC022-130.260106017:10
14A. HenriqueC101-120.470105817:04
67R. RakellR112-130.48200—16:28
34S. SteelC000+110.030006416:26
49M. JonesL000+120.1010010015:09
58C. De LeoL000010.11100—14:59
32J. LarssonD000000.01010—14:25
5K. HolzerD000000.00020—14:00
11D. SprongR000010.07000—13:09
38D. GrantC101+150.400006711:39
24C. RowneyC011+100.0751010011:28
20N. DeslauriersL000020.02002—10:16
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(W)35332.9432.21+0.2160:00

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).