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Ducks at Predators
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
1
Nashville Predators
▸6
FinalTV FS-TN, PRIME·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Anaheim Ducks 6-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Colton Sissons's goal at 16:19 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were ANA 27, NSH 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. John Gibson stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.6 goals below expected; Pekka Rinne stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pekka Rinne (26 saves, .963), 2. Roman Josi (1 G, 1 A), 3. Viktor Arvidsson (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    P. Rinne26 saves, .963
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. Josi1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    V. Arvidsson2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA01401013127
NSHNSH21029211630

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    R. Josi(4)PPG
    M. Duchene (9), R. Ellis (11)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    11:23
  2. NSH
    C. Sissons(3)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    16:19

2nd period

  1. NSH
    R. Grimaldi(1)
    N. Bonino (3), R. Josi (5)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    0:35
  2. NSH
    M. Ekholm(3)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.21win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    10:08

3rd period

  1. ANA
    R. Getzlaf(3)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.18win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    3:59
  2. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    4:30
  3. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(5)
    C. Jarnkrok (5), K. Turris (4)
    wristxG 0.31
    1-6
    8:19

Penalties

ANA 22 PIM·NSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:39ANAHampus Lindholm · Cross checkingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 9:32ANAJacob Larsson · Interferencedrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 10:51ANAJakob Silfverberg · Cross checkingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 14:13NSHColton Sissons · Slashingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min

2nd

  • 3:15NSHYannick Weber · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Troy Terry0 min
  • 9:18NSHDante Fabbro · Slashingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min
  • 14:05NSHMiikka Salomaki · High stickingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min

3rd

  • 8:42ANAKorbinian Holzer · High stickingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 10:25ANAJosh Manson · Interferencedrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 14:45ANANick Ritchie · Cross checkingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 14:45ANANick Ritchie · Game misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalANA goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Colton Sissons, 1st 16:19 — NSH 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.31C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.23M. Ekholm · Goal · xG 0.21M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.20V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.14R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.13C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.11R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.10M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.10K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.08R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.08R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.07C. Sissons · Goal · xG 0.06R. Grimaldi · Goal · xG 0.06D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.05R. Josi · Goal · xG 0.05M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.05R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.05N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.04K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.04R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.03D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.03K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.03R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.03M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.01K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.01
NSH6 G · 2.5 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsNSH
2.01 G
All situations
6 G2.5
1.61 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA40%60%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.96 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsNSH
27
Shots on goal
30
62%
Faceoffs
38%
0/3
Power play
1/6
22
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
7
9
Blocked shots
17
6
Giveaways
12
9
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47H. LindholmD000-200.01032—20:23
5K. HolzerD000-100.00312—19:30
15R. GetzlafC101-130.250106719:22
32J. LarssonD000000.02102—19:20
42J. MansonD000-130.06312—19:17
44M. Del ZottoD000-210.02000—18:09
4C. FowlerD000020.05100—18:08
25O. KaseR000040.3700010016:38
34S. SteelC000-220.070008016:30
33J. SilfverbergR000-230.240025016:10
14A. HenriqueC000-200.000006116:07
37N. RitchieL000050.322112—15:42
67R. RakellR000-200.16300—15:16
61T. TerryR000-220.22000—13:46
38D. GrantC000-110.020004612:42
24C. RowneyC000-100.00210012:39
29D. ShoreC000000.0001010010:08
20N. DeslauriersL000-110.16100—08:22
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)19154.7891.41-2.5940:00
30R. Miller1192.8181.11-0.8920:00

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).