Skip to content
Flyers at Golden Knights
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV ESPN+, ATTSN-RM·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-4. The Flyers scored first; the Golden Knights answered. The Golden Knights led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Couturier's goal at 0:15 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 9% to 24%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.5 to 2.5; shots on goal were PHI 38, VGK 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 1.5 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Max Pacioretty (2 G), 2. Jon Merrill (1 G), 3. Brayden McNabb.

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Pacioretty2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    J. Merrill1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    B. McNabb

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI212113113438
VGKVGK41815010533

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:33
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:42
  3. VGK
    wristxG 0.27win prob +9 pts
    1-2
    10:08
  4. VGK
    N. Roy (3)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    11:27
  5. PHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.22win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    14:40
  6. VGK
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    17:03

2nd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.08win prob +9 pts
    2-5
    9:37
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.17win prob +8 pts
    3-5
    12:08

3rd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    4-5
    0:15

Penalties

PHI 2 PIM·VGK 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:52PHISean Couturier · Slashingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min
  • 13:23VGKNick Holden · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Scott Laughton0 min

2nd

  • 18:15VGKRyan Reaves · Trippingdrawn by Philippe Myers2 min

3rd

  • 17:14VGKReilly Smith · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:31VGKDeryk Engelland · Cross checkingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalPHI goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Sean Couturier, 3rd 0:15 — PHI 9% → 24%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.27W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.19W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.18M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.16P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.15M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.15C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.14S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.14W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.11C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.11R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.11S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.10M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.09C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.08S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.08M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.08S. Theodore · Goal · xG 0.08W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.08C. Glass · Goal · xG 0.08P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.08P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.07C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.07S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.06M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.06J. Merrill · Goal · xG 0.06R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.05C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.05R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.04R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.03N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.03N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02D. Engelland · Missed · xG 0.02P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.02B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.02N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.00S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK5 G · 3.5 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsVGK
2.54 G
All situations
5 G3.5
1.63 G
Even strength
4 G3.0
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI34%66%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 3.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsVGK
38
Shots on goal
33
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
37
Hits
34
13
Blocked shots
11
3
Giveaways
4
9
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD011050.10120—26:39
11T. KonecnyR101050.38200—23:14
14S. CouturierC213+120.252126522:14
93J. VoracekR022+110.03000—21:44
28C. GirouxR112+180.541005621:02
53S. GostisbehereD000030.12020—20:39
15M. NiskanenD011030.05500—19:36
61J. BraunD000010.01020—18:24
6T. SanheimD000-100.00000—16:40
13K. HayesR000+100.014204716:39
25J. van RiemsdykL000040.42110—16:19
5P. MyersD000-100.01510—15:37
49J. FarabeeL000-120.11010—12:48
12M. RafflL000-120.064006712:29
18T. PitlickC000-110.13300012:24
21S. LaughtonC000-110.243105010:07
24M. VorobyevC000-200.000005708:51
44C. StewartR000-100.00600—06:12
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(L)33285.8483.47-1.5358:06

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).