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Golden Knights at Flyers
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NHLN, ATTSN-RM·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Vegas Golden Knights 6-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Hayes's goal at 6:12 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.0 to 2.4; shots on goal were VGK 35, PHI 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Oscar Dansk stopped 31 of 37 (.838), 3.6 goals below expected; Brian Elliott stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Michael Raffl (1 G, 2 A), 2. Oskar Lindblom (1 G, 1 A), 3. Matt Niskanen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    M. Raffl1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    O. Lindblom1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    M. Niskanen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK07018210235
PHIPHI11541319637

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    4:15

2nd period

  1. PHI
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    6:12
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.01win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    6:56
  3. PHI
    snapxG 0.14win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    14:24
  4. PHI
    snapxG 0.15win prob +1 pts
    0-5
    15:19

3rd period

  1. VGK
    snapxG 0.17
    1-5
    3:15
  2. VGK
    snapxG 0.16
    2-5
    13:30
  3. PHI
    backhandxG 0.16
    2-6
    15:38

Penalties

VGK 10 PIM·PHI 10 PIM

1st

  • 2:46VGKJake Bischoff · Cross checkingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 10:00VGKRyan Reaves · Interferencedrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

2nd

  • 9:08PHITravis Sanheim · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 12:35VGKBrayden McNabb · Boardingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 19:15VGKJonathan Marchessault · Cross checkingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

3rd

  • 1:37PHIKevin Hayes · Trippingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min
  • 2:01PHIRobert Hagg · Slashingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min
  • 11:39VGKWilliam Carrier · Trippingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 11:58PHISean Couturier · Trippingdrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min
  • 18:08PHIserved by C. Stewart · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalVGK goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Kevin Hayes, 2nd 6:12 — PHI 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Raffl · Goal · xG 0.16T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.16O. Lindblom · Goal · xG 0.15M. Niskanen · Goal · xG 0.14S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.12J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.11C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.09T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.09M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.08C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.07J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.07K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.06O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.06J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.06O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.06M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.06M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.06O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.05S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.05C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.05T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.05K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.05K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.04O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.04J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.04M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.03I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.03M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.03J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.03J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.02J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.02J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.02C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.01S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · Goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00M. Vorobyev · On goal · xG 0.00J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.00R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI6 G · 2.4 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsPHI
3.02 G
All situations
6 G2.4
1.61 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
1.31 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK60%40%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.96 – 2.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsPHI
35
Shots on goal
37
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/5
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
10
11
Hits
15
12
Blocked shots
9
8
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD000-120.15010—22:11
15J. MerrillD011-200.00010—19:48
71W. KarlssonC011030.320005019:30
5D. EngellandD000030.03110—19:13
22N. HoldenD011-200.00010—18:14
19R. SmithR101050.85000—18:08
61M. StoneR011-200.00000—17:45
45J. BischoffD000-120.04132—17:33
67M. PaciorettyL000030.08020—17:10
81J. MarchessaultR101-270.69202—16:49
26P. StastnyC000-120.120102516:24
3B. McNabbD000000.00012—15:52
21C. EakinC000-200.000003815:33
9C. GlassC000-110.10100014:38
73B. PirriC000-210.16100012:48
92T. NosekL000030.280007510:22
75R. ReavesR000000.0011210009:23
28W. CarrierL000030.194025009:21
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35O. Dansk(L)37316.8382.38-3.6260:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).