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Senators at Canadiens
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Montréal Canadiens

Final/OTTV SN, RDS·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Montréal Canadiens 2-1 in overtime, Brady Tkachuk scoring at 0:38. The Canadiens scored first; the Senators answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brady Tkachuk's goal at 0:38 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were OTT 24, MTL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Carey Price stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Brady Tkachuk (1 G), 2. Craig Anderson (35 saves, .972), 3. Nick Suzuki (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    C. Anderson35 saves, .972
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
OTTOTT031110911224
MTLMTL0121140901136

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(6)PPG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    0:44
  2. OTT
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    9:55

Overtime

  1. OTT
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +51 pts
    2-1
    0:38

Penalties

OTT 2 PIM·MTL 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:58MTLVictor Mete · High sticking double minordrawn by Connor Brown4 min
  • 19:09OTTNikita Zaitsev · Cross checkingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min

3rd

  • 9:51MTLBrett Kulak · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalOTT goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Brady Tkachuk, OT 0:38 — OTT 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.15M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.14M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.14N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.14C. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.14V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.13J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.13T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.13P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.12P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.12T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.10N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.10C. Hudon · Missed · xG 0.09N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.08S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.08J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.07J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.07J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.07J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.07C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.06J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.05N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.05B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.05J. Weal · Missed · xG 0.05J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.04J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.04B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.03T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.03M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.02C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.02S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.02S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.01J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.01J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.00M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.00T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.00V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL1 G · 3.0 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsMTL
1.92 G
All situations
1 G3.0
1.62 G
Even strength
0 G2.5
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT32%68%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.94 – 2.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsMTL
24
Shots on goal
36
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
31
18
Blocked shots
15
14
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000020.08100—23:45
2D. DeMeloD000020.06110—22:50
44J. PageauC101+130.225005421:16
28C. BrownR000020.08010—20:08
22N. ZaitsevD011+200.00022—19:33
7B. TkachukL101+120.256105019:19
10A. DuclairL000040.38120—19:02
13N. PaulL000010.302104418:42
74M. BorowieckiD011+100.00130—18:27
71C. TierneyC011+110.081206017:27
81R. HainseyD000000.00000—17:06
36C. WhiteC000+110.011201716:38
63T. EnnisR011+130.30000—14:48
29C. GoloubefD000000.03310—14:12
21L. BrownC000000.020102713:07
78F. ChlapikC000000.0050010012:17
14M. VeronneauR000020.10010—08:49
90V. NamestnikovC000010.03000002:53
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(W)36351.9722.99+1.9960:38

Season series

MTL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).