Montréal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Ottawa Senators 2-1 in overtime, Ilya Kovalchuk scoring at 4:08. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ilya Kovalchuk's goal at 4:08 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were MTL 25, OTT 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Carey Price stopped 41 of 42 (.976), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Marcus Hogberg stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Carey Price (41 saves, .976), 2. Ilya Kovalchuk (1 G), 3. Marcus Hogberg (23 saves, .920).
Three stars
- ★C. Price41 saves, .976

- ★★I. Kovalchuk1 G

- ★★★M. Hogberg23 saves, .920

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
1-08:24
3rd period
1-113:32
Overtime
2-14:08
Penalties
1st
- 7:42
Dylan DeMelo · Cross checkingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
- 12:10
Nick Cousins · Cross checkingdrawn by Cody Goloubef2 min
- 12:33
Drake Batherson · Hookingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
- 14:38
Drake Batherson · Interferencedrawn by Ilya Kovalchuk2 min
2nd
- 10:59
Brady Tkachuk · Interferencedrawn by Victor Mete2 min
3rd
- 1:28
Marco Scandella · Interferencedrawn by Chris Tierney2 min
- 1:28
Chris Tierney · Embellishmentdrawn by Marco Scandella2 min
- 6:05
Victor Mete · Interferencedrawn by Chris Tierney2 min
- 9:27
Tomas Tatar · Holdingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min
- 15:57
Marco Scandella · Trippingdrawn by Mike Reilly2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Ilya Kovalchuk, OT 4:08 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.12 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.5
- 2.71 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.5
- 0.31 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.8
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.99 – 2.53
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 25
- Shots on goal
- 42
- 46%
- Faceoffs
- 54%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 0/4
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 27
- Hits
- 26
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 10
- Giveaways
- 11
- 4
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
MTL leads 3-1
2@
1OTFinal
2@
3OTFinal
2@
1OTthis game
3@
0Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
