St. Louis Blues at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe St. Louis Blues beat the Calgary Flames 3-2 in overtime, David Perron scoring at 2:46. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Perron's goal at 2:46 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.3 to 2.1; shots on goal were STL 28, CGY 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 27 of 29 (.931); David Rittich stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G, 1 A), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G), 3. Alex Pietrangelo (2 A).
Three stars
- ★R. O'Reilly1 G, 1 A

- ★★M. Tkachuk1 G

- ★★★A. Pietrangelo2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-03:17
2nd period
2-013:06
3rd period
2-110:59
2-216:04
Overtime
3-22:46
Penalties
1st
- 3:58
Zachary Sanford · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
- 9:42
Brayden Schenn · Boardingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
- 11:28
Sam Bennett · Hookingdrawn by Jacob de la Rose2 min
2nd
- 9:54
Mark Jankowski · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 12:49
Mark Giordano · High stickingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
3rd
- 15:39
Oskar Sundqvist · Roughingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
- 15:39
Sam Bennett · Chargingdrawn by Mackenzie MacEachern2 min
OT
- 1:47
TJ Brodie · Holdingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: David Perron, OT 2:46 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.33 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.1
- 1.41 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.9
- 0.82 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 2.03
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 29
- 47%
- Faceoffs
- 53%
- 2/4
- Power play
- 0/2
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 19
- Hits
- 19
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 8
- 7
- Giveaways
- 24
- 9
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
STL leads 3-0
3@
2OTthis game
0@
5Final
5@
4SOFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















