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Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Calgary Flames 5-0. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oskar Sundqvist's goal at 6:23 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals were close — CGY 2.8, STL 3.0; shots on goal were CGY 40, STL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. David Rittich stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.0 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 40 of 40 (1.000), 2.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Zachary Sanford (1 G, 3 A), 2. Oskar Sundqvist (2 G), 3. Jordan Binnington (40 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    Z. Sanford1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    O. Sundqvist2 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Binnington40 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY01601707040
STLSTL11321127531

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    slapxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    12:07

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.24win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    6:23
  2. STL
    D. Perron(10)PPG
    slapxG 0.09win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    9:42

3rd period

  1. STL
    slapxG 0.14win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    2:31
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.05
    0-5
    9:18

Penalties

CGY 9 PIM·STL 13 PIM

2nd

  • 9:18CGYZac Rinaldo · Roughingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 12:18STLserved by D. Perron · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 16:59STLAlex Pietrangelo · Interferencedrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 18:34STLIvan Barbashev · Holdingdrawn by Milan Lucic2 min
  • 18:38CGYElias Lindholm · Trippingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

3rd

  • 13:07STLBrayden Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson5 min
  • 13:07CGYRasmus Andersson · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Schenn5 min
  • 16:15STLDavid Perron · Trippingdrawn by Dillon Dube2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCGY goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Oskar Sundqvist, 2nd 6:23 — STL 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Sundqvist · Goal · xG 0.24O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.23B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.22T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.20T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.19T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.16O. Sundqvist · Goal · xG 0.14Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.12D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.11D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.09B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.09K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.08J. de la Rose · Missed · xG 0.08J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.08J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.08I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.07J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Sanford · Goal · xG 0.06J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.05V. Dunn · Goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.05D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.04B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.04B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.03D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bouwmeester · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.01
STL5 G · 3.0 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsSTL
2.80 G
All situations
5 G3.0
2.20 G
Even strength
4 G2.8
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY47%53%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 2.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsSTL
40
Shots on goal
31
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/4
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
13
20
Hits
10
6
Blocked shots
11
9
Giveaways
7
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD000-110.12020—23:27
55N. HanifinD000-120.10100—22:08
19M. TkachukL000-120.06300—20:40
4R. AnderssonD000-140.08005—20:33
23S. MonahanC000-230.171002919:14
28E. LindholmC000-160.591026019:10
26M. StoneD000-120.03020—19:10
13J. GaudreauL000-130.33000—18:43
11M. BacklundC000000.051003818:07
67M. FrolikR000030.12000—16:47
6B. DavidsonD000-260.12100—15:05
10D. RyanC000-110.100105714:20
58O. KylingtonD000-220.04100—13:44
17M. LucicL000-110.11300—13:33
29D. DubeC000-100.38000012:34
36Z. RinaldoC000-230.22602012:05
77M. JankowskiL000-100.001106211:59
88A. MangiapaneL000-110.18100—06:20
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(L)31265.8392.98-2.0259:57

Season series

STL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).