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Avalanche at Sharks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
2
San Jose Sharks
▸3
FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-2. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joonas Donskoi's goal at 12:37 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were COL 29, SJS 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.0 goals below expected; Martin Jones stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Joe Pavelski (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tomas Hertl (1 G, 1 A), 3. Joonas Donskoi (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    J. Pavelski1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    T. Hertl1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    J. Donskoi1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL1905115229
SJSSJS21211302327

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    J. Pavelski(3)
    B. Burns (8), T. Hertl (5)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    5:57
  2. SJS
    T. Hertl(9)
    J. Pavelski (3), E. Kane (5)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    11:35
  3. COL
    M. Rantanen(6)
    S. Girard (2), G. Landeskog (5)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    19:53

2nd period

  1. SJS
    J. Donskoi(1)
    B. Burns (9), M. Karlsson (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    12:37

3rd period

  1. COL
    T. Jost(3)
    C. Wilson (4), A. Kerfoot (3)
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    0:51

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:22SJSErik Karlsson · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
  • 3:40COLDerick Brassard · Hookingdrawn by Joe Thornton2 min
  • 11:59COLIan Cole · Interferencedrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min

2nd

  • 2:08COLCarl Soderberg · High stickingdrawn by Joe Thornton2 min
  • 8:28SJSErik Karlsson · Slashingdrawn by Derick Brassard2 min

3rd

  • 4:56SJSLogan Couture · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCOL goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Joonas Donskoi, 2nd 12:37 — SJS 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.21T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.17T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.13T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.12T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.11K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.10J. Donskoi · Goal · xG 0.09J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.09M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.08T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.08E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.07J. Thornton · Missed · xG 0.07G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.06E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.05J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.05M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.05L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.04M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS3 G · 2.0 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSJS
2.42 G
All situations
3 G2.0
1.52 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL57%43%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 1.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSJS
29
Shots on goal
27
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
31
18
Blocked shots
17
11
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4T. BarrieD000000.00210—22:44
92G. LandeskogL011-110.180004722:33
29N. MacKinnonC000+130.22200020:59
96M. RantanenR101+130.31110—20:38
37J. CompherL000-110.140105020:24
49S. GirardD011+200.00220—18:56
6E. JohnsonD000040.04450—18:24
8C. MakarD000-140.17200—17:30
83M. NietoL000010.21100—16:54
13A. KerfootC011020.410001716:45
28I. ColeD000020.03232—16:28
22C. WilsonC011010.06000015:25
34C. SoderbergC000-140.290021714:25
18D. BrassardC000-110.052026712:21
17T. JostC101020.242003311:56
16N. ZadorovD000-200.00220—11:33
57G. BourqueL000-100.00310—09:43
12P. NemethD000-100.01220—08:32
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)27243.8891.97-1.0357:50

Series

SJS leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).