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Avalanche at Sharks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
San Jose Sharks
3
FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 4-3. The Sharks scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyson Barrie's goal at 16:31 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.3 to 2.4; shots on goal were COL 32, SJS 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.6 goals below expected; Martin Jones stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyson Barrie (1 G, 2 A), 2. Gabriel Landeskog (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brent Burns (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    T. Barrie1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    G. Landeskog1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    B. Burns2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL06213213432
SJSSJS111013210334

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    E. Kane(2)
    B. Burns (7), T. Hertl (3)
    wristxG 0.38win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    7:57

2nd period

  1. COL
    G. Landeskog(2)
    T. Barrie (6), N. MacKinnon (7)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    8:21
  2. COL
    T. Barrie(1)
    G. Landeskog (4), M. Rantanen (6)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    16:31

3rd period

  1. COL
    M. Nieto(3)
    M. Calvert (2), T. Barrie (7)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    10:10
  2. SJS
    B. Burns(3)
    E. Karlsson (10), M. Sorensen (5)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    3-2
    15:26
  3. COL
    N. MacKinnon(4)EN
    M. Calvert (3), P. Grubauer (1)
    wristxG 0.88win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    18:58
  4. SJS
    B. Burns(4)PPG
    T. Hertl (4), E. Kane (4)
    slapxG 0.18
    4-3
    19:49

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·SJS 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:05COLNikita Zadorov · Boardingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min

2nd

  • 4:37COLCarl Soderberg · Holdingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 19:16SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic · Slashingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min

3rd

  • 16:15SJSTimo Meier · Trippingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 19:42COLIan Cole · Holdingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCOL goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Tyson Barrie, 2nd 16:31 — COL 47% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.38B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.19B. Burns · Goal · xG 0.18L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.14G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.11T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.11K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.10L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.09T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.09E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.08B. Burns · Goal · xG 0.07B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.06J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.05M. Haley · Missed · xG 0.05J. Thornton · Missed · xG 0.05L. Radil · Missed · xG 0.05T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.04J. Thornton · Missed · xG 0.04T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.04B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01J. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Haley · On goal · xG 0.01J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.00E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS3 G · 2.4 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSJS
3.33 G
All situations
3 G2.4
2.23 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL51%49%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.41 – 2.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSJS
32
Shots on goal
34
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
28
Hits
25
25
Blocked shots
16
11
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28I. ColeD000+100.03332—23:23
29N. MacKinnonC112+271.201205023:15
4T. BarrieD123+240.16020—22:52
96M. RantanenR011+100.11210—22:38
92G. LandeskogL112+130.501206522:33
16N. ZadorovD000010.04732—20:09
6E. JohnsonD000000.00130—19:29
22C. WilsonC000-100.00000016:48
34C. SoderbergC000+100.103223816:30
49S. GirardD000+120.04000—15:43
8C. MakarD000030.30100—14:57
37J. CompherL000+120.060005814:36
13A. KerfootC000-120.28120013:52
11M. CalvertL022+230.23100—13:14
83M. NietoL101+130.12200—11:38
17T. JostC000-110.013201708:25
57G. BourqueL000010.14120—08:07
18D. BrassardC000000.03110007:44
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)34313.9122.42-0.5860:00

Series

SJS leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).