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Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues

Final/OTTV CNBC, FS-MW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the St. Louis Blues 2-1 in overtime, Kyle Connor scoring at 6:02. The Blues scored first; the Jets answered. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 6:02 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were WPG 39, STL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Connor (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jordan Binnington (37 saves, .949), 3. Mark Scheifele (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Binnington37 saves, .949
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG0501411515239
STLSTL0100141701132

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.05win prob +19 pts
    0-1
    0:35
  2. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +28 pts
    1-1
    7:33

Overtime

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.32win prob +52 pts
    2-1
    6:02

Penalties

WPG 4 PIM·STL 2 PIM

1st

  • 12:12STLDavid Perron · Trippingdrawn by Patrik Laine2 min

2nd

  • 19:28WPGMathieu Perreault · Cross checkingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min

3rd

  • 16:19WPGMathieu Perreault · Trippingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalWPG goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, OT 6:02 — WPG 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.24D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.23D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.16A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.13R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.12P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.12R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.11T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.10D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.08P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.07A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.07P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.06R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.05T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.05T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.05I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.04O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.04P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.04R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.03R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00
STL1 G · 2.4 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsSTL
3.72 G
All situations
1 G2.4
3.32 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG72%28%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.69 – 2.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsSTL
39
Shots on goal
32
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
27
Hits
33
14
Blocked shots
15
4
Giveaways
12
10
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33D. ByfuglienD000+210.17210—25:48
8J. TroubaD000010.00310—24:43
44J. MorrisseyD000030.08450—23:17
55M. ScheifeleC112+270.830003322:05
81K. ConnorL112+240.65000—21:18
7B. ChiarotD000+230.18110—21:05
29P. LaineL000020.27410—20:50
26B. WheelerR022+220.19510—20:43
57T. MyersD000010.03010—19:02
18B. LittleC000010.101003817:46
27N. EhlersL000040.19010—17:41
5D. KulikovD000030.16100—15:55
17A. LowryC000020.161004715:26
9A. CoppC000020.34100015:12
13B. TanevL000020.30310—14:55
12K. HayesR000010.060106711:32
28J. RoslovicC000000.03000010:16
85M. PerreaultC000000.00104009:34
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)32311.9692.42+1.4265:57

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).