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Senators at Rangers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸4
New York Rangers
1
FinalTV MSG+, SN·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the New York Rangers 4-1. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zack Smith's goal at 13:29 of the first period, which took the Senators' chances from 56% to 74%. Expected goals were close — OTT 2.9, NYR 2.8; shots on goal were OTT 31, NYR 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Anders Nilsson stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Henrik Lundqvist stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brady Tkachuk (1 G, 1 A), 2. Anders Nilsson (27 saves, .964), 3. Colin White (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    A. Nilsson27 saves, .964
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    C. White2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT21117113431
NYRNYR01115012128

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    B. Ryan(15)PPG
    C. Tierney (38), B. Tkachuk (23)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    12:14
  2. OTT
    Z. Smith(9)SHG
    M. Paajarvi (8)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    13:29

2nd period

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(22)PPG
    C. White (26), T. Chabot (41)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    3:51
  2. NYR
    L. Andersson(2)SHG
    V. Namestnikov (19), B. Smith (9)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    3-1
    4:52

3rd period

  1. OTT
    B. Gibbons(8)
    C. White (27)
    tip-inxG 0.18win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    14:58

Penalties

OTT 14 PIM·NYR 32 PIM

1st

  • 1:13NYRVladislav Namestnikov · Interferencedrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min
  • 10:55NYRChris Kreider · Trippingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
  • 12:47OTTCody Ceci · Trippingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min

2nd

  • 2:55NYRBrendan Lemieux · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 2:55NYRJohn Gilmour · Hookingdrawn by Bobby Ryan2 min
  • 16:52OTTChristian Wolanin · Delaying game smothering puckdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min

3rd

  • 6:03NYRBrady Skjei · Roughingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
  • 9:31NYRJohn Gilmour · High stickingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 19:19OTTAndreas Englund · Misconductdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov10 min
  • 19:19NYRVladislav Namestnikov · Misconductdrawn by Andreas Englund10 min
  • 19:19NYRTony DeAngelo · Misconductdrawn by Brady Tkachuk10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalOTT goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Zack Smith, 1st 13:29 — OTT 56% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.21M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.18B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.15B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.15C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.14L. Andersson · Goal · xG 0.13J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.13K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.13P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.13T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.12V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.10J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.10V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.09K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.07R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.07V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.07J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.06J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.06T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.06C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.04P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.04L. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gilmour · On goal · xG 0.03R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.02M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02L. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gilmour · On goal · xG 0.01B. Nieves · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gilmour · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.01J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR1 G · 2.8 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsNYR
2.94 G
All situations
1 G2.8
1.51 G
Even strength
0 G1.9
1.32 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.11 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT51%49%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.85 – 2.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsNYR
31
Shots on goal
28
63%
Faceoffs
37%
2/6
Power play
0/2
14
Penalty minutes
32
15
Hits
26
10
Blocked shots
9
20
Giveaways
13
9
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD011030.13120—26:06
5C. CeciD000030.17112—21:42
2D. DeMeloD000010.01010—19:26
86C. WolaninD000000.00002—19:15
44J. PageauC000020.181005718:54
71C. TierneyC011-130.320006718:19
36C. WhiteC022+130.5500010017:47
7B. TkachukL112+120.222107017:45
15Z. SmithC101+110.121007516:53
56M. PaajarviL011+100.00010—16:08
83C. JarosD000+120.03210—15:59
10A. DuclairL000-120.50010—15:31
39A. EnglundD000+110.020110—15:06
24O. LindbergL000020.034004214:39
38R. BalcersL000-120.12200—13:41
9B. RyanR101030.24000—11:30
17B. GibbonsC101+110.18100009:38
14M. VeronneauR000000.07010—07:46
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Nilsson(W)28271.9642.83+1.8359:55

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).