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New York Rangers at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV MSG, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the New York Rangers 3-0. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Magnus Paajarvi's goal at 14:35 of the first period, which took the Senators' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.6 to 1.7; shots on goal were NYR 27, OTT 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Henrik Lundqvist stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Craig Anderson stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Duchene (1 G, 1 A), 2. Craig Anderson (27 saves, 1.000), 3. Drake Batherson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    M. Duchene1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    C. Anderson27 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    D. Batherson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR0110808027
OTTOTT211112011334

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:06
  2. OTT
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    14:35

2nd period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.07win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    17:00

Penalties

NYR 2 PIM·OTT 0 PIM

3rd

  • 14:48NYRTony DeAngelo · Roughingdrawn by Colin White2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalNYR goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Magnus Paajarvi, 1st 14:35 — OTT 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.18D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.17B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.16R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.14M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.13M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.13M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.12M. Paajarvi · Missed · xG 0.11B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.11M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.11B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.09M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.07D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.05C. White · Missed · xG 0.05T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.05C. White · On goal · xG 0.05M. Paajarvi · Goal · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pyatt · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.01C. Jaros · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01B. Harpur · Missed · xG 0.01M. Lajoie · Missed · xG 0.01B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.00D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.00C. White · Missed · xG 0.00
OTT3 G · 2.6 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsOTT
1.70 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.60 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR34%66%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 2.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsOTT
27
Shots on goal
34
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/0
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
0
40
Hits
26
9
Blocked shots
12
12
Giveaways
21
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44N. PionkD000010.01410—20:55
18M. StaalD000-130.13310—20:27
76B. SkjeiD000-220.07500—20:01
33F. ClaessonD000020.04220—19:49
77T. DeAngeloD000-320.03332—18:12
20C. KreiderL000-120.03220—17:52
93M. ZibanejadC000-200.151003317:50
17J. FastR000010.07300—17:46
16R. StromeC000-200.00400017:44
13K. HayesR000020.281005617:06
72F. ChytilC000020.173005016:55
26J. VeseyL000010.20000—16:39
50L. AnderssonC000-130.34200016:09
21B. HowdenC000-110.020002715:42
42B. SmithD000-110.01400—14:06
22K. ShattenkirkD000020.07000—13:58
38S. FogartyC000020.080005009:45
25T. GettingerL000-100.00300—07:04
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30H. Lundqvist(L)34313.9122.55-0.4560:00

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).