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Sabres at Islanders
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
1
New York Islanders
▸5
FinalTV MSG+ 2, MSG-B·NYCB Live/Nassau Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Beauvillier's goal at 8:20 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.4 to 2.3; shots on goal were BUF 32, NYI 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Carter Hutton stopped 33 of 38 (.868), 1.6 goals below expected; Robin Lehner stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Robin Lehner (31 saves, .969), 2. Anthony Beauvillier (2 G), 3. Ryan Pulock (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    R. Lehner31 saves, .969
  2. ★★
    NYI
    A. Beauvillier2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    R. Pulock1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF08012112132
NYINYI116212210538

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    J. Eberle(18)
    M. Barzal (44), A. Lee (22)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    7:41

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Beauvillier(17)
    D. Toews (12)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    8:20
  2. NYI
    M. Dal Colle(3)
    A. Pelech (15), B. Nelson (27)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    19:26

3rd period

  1. NYI
    R. Pulock(9)
    C. Clutterbuck (14), C. Cizikas (12)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    0:30
  2. NYI
    A. Beauvillier(18)
    J. Bailey (39), L. Komarov (19)
    wristxG 0.10
    0-5
    6:07
  3. BUF
    V. Olofsson(1)PPG
    J. Eichel (50)
    wristxG 0.06
    1-5
    13:28

Penalties

BUF 2 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:23BUFBrandon Montour · Ps tripping on breakawaydrawn by Anthony Beauvillier0 min
  • 17:38NYICasey Cizikas · Trippingdrawn by Johan Larsson2 min

3rd

  • 2:29BUFRasmus Dahlin · Cross checkingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 13:06NYIMathew Barzal · High stickingdrawn by Alex Nylander2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalBUF goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Anthony Beauvillier, 2nd 8:20 — NYI 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.22M. Dal Colle · On goal · xG 0.19A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.17M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.17J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.17R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.15J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.13T. Kuhnhackl · Missed · xG 0.13A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.11M. Dal Colle · Goal · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.10M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.09C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.08C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.08M. Dal Colle · Missed · xG 0.08C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.07C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.07C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.07B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.07L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.07C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.06M. Dal Colle · On goal · xG 0.06B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.05R. Pulock · Goal · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.03M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.02A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.02A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01T. Kuhnhackl · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.01
NYI5 G · 3.4 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsNYI
2.31 G
All situations
5 G3.4
2.00 G
Even strength
5 G2.9
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF31%69%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.25 – 3.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsNYI
32
Shots on goal
38
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
26
Hits
25
16
Blocked shots
16
16
Giveaways
28
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000-310.05110—23:52
26R. DahlinD000-160.17202—22:19
24L. PilutD000-240.06110—22:17
8C. NelsonD000-210.05310—21:02
9J. EichelC011-210.124305618:55
33W. BorgenD000-200.00620—18:27
41V. OlofssonL101-140.33220—18:03
53J. SkinnerL000-110.1102010016:57
23S. ReinhartC000-310.13010016:23
22J. LarssonL000020.241106716:10
92A. NylanderL000-100.00000—15:30
37C. MittelstadtC000-110.162002014:57
21K. OkposoR000010.01000—14:16
43C. ShearyL000-230.27100—13:42
29J. PominvilleR000-140.3400010012:07
20S. WilsonC000-120.22100011:42
28Z. GirgensonsC000-200.001103011:30
6M. ScandellaD000000.00110—09:51
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Hutton(L)38335.8683.44-1.5660:00

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).