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Islanders at Sabres
NHL

New York Islanders at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
1
Buffalo Sabres
▸3
FinalTV MSG+ 2, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the New York Islanders 3-1. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Pominville's goal at 6:49 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.5 to 1.7; shots on goal were NYI 25, BUF 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.3 goals below expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Linus Ullmark (24 saves, .960), 2. Jack Eichel (2 A), 3. Jason Pominville (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    L. Ullmark24 saves, .960
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J. Eichel2 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    J. Pominville1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI1807010125
BUFBUF1515112322

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    J. Skinner(34)
    J. Eichel (42)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    16:25
  2. NYI
    C. Cizikas(13)
    M. Martin (7), C. Clutterbuck (9)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:37

2nd period

  1. BUF
    J. Pominville(13)
    J. Eichel (43)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    6:49

3rd period

  1. BUF
    J. Larsson(5)
    K. Okposo (12), Z. Girgensons (9)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    17:35

Penalties

NYI 2 PIM·BUF 0 PIM

2nd

  • 12:42NYICasey Cizikas · Trippingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalNYI goalFinal: BUF 100%

Biggest swing: Jason Pominville, 2nd 6:49 — BUF 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.42J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.40S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.17S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.16J. Larsson · Goal · xG 0.14T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.13J. Pominville · Goal · xG 0.10J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.09J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.08R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.06J. Skinner · Goal · xG 0.05J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.05K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.05E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.05J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.05E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.04J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.04R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.03S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.02M. Hunwick · On goal · xG 0.02L. Pilut · On goal · xG 0.02J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01K. Okposo · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF3 G · 2.5 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsBUF
1.71 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI51%49%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.75 – 1.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsBUF
25
Shots on goal
22
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/0
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
0
20
Hits
13
5
Blocked shots
14
6
Giveaways
6
0
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2N. LeddyD000-110.03210—23:32
55J. BoychukD000-230.06420—20:57
6R. PulockD000010.06000—19:38
3A. PelechD000000.01000—19:17
25D. ToewsD000-100.00000—17:48
24S. MayfieldD000030.12010—17:38
13M. BarzalC000-120.240006717:24
29B. NelsonC000-240.350006016:42
18A. BeauvillierR000020.14100—16:22
51V. FilppulaC000000.000004416:20
47L. KomarovR000010.084006715:48
27A. LeeL000-210.02200—15:42
7J. EberleR000-220.12000—15:38
12J. BaileyR000-100.00000—15:08
15C. ClutterbuckR011+120.10200—14:38
17M. MartinL011+110.09400—13:20
28M. Dal ColleL000-110.26010—12:15
53C. CizikasC101+110.091024411:54
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40R. Lehner(L)22193.8641.71-1.2957:59

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).