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Panthers at Senators
NHL

Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸5
Ottawa Senators
2
FinalTV FS-F, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Ottawa Senators 5-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Huberdeau's goal at 6:31 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.6 to 1.8; shots on goal were FLA 34, OTT 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Roberto Luongo stopped 28 of 30 (.933); Anders Nilsson stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evgenii Dadonov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Brady Tkachuk (1 G), 3. Brady Keeper.

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    E. Dadonov1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    B. Keeper

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA110213211534
OTTOTT19010111230

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    E. Dadonov(26)
    A. Barkov (55), K. Yandle (50)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:30
  2. OTT
    C. White(14)
    B. Gibbons (9), A. Duclair (13)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    12:59

2nd period

  1. FLA
    T. Brouwer(10)
    R. Sheahan (10), D. Hunt (5)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    2:35
  2. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(26)
    A. Barkov (56), E. Dadonov (39)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    6:31

3rd period

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(20)
    B. Gibbons (10), T. Chabot (40)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    3:01
  2. FLA
    D. Hunt(3)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.39win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    18:32
  3. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(27)EN
    E. Dadonov (40)
    snapxG 0.81
    5-2
    19:46

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

2nd

  • 8:24FLATroy Brouwer · Hookingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
  • 13:22FLAAaron Ekblad · Hookingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 15:04OTTColin White · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Roberto Luongo2 min

3rd

  • 13:36FLAKeith Yandle · Trippingdrawn by Oscar Lindberg2 min
  • 14:16OTTBobby Ryan · Hookingdrawn by Riley Sheahan2 min
  • 19:46OTTBrady Tkachuk · Cross checkingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 19:46FLAAaron Ekblad · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalFLA goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Huberdeau, 2nd 6:31 — FLA 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.24C. White · Goal · xG 0.16B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.14B. Gibbons · On goal · xG 0.13B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.12C. White · On goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.08M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04C. White · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03B. Gibbons · On goal · xG 0.03C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.02C. Wolanin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gibbons · Missed · xG 0.02M. Paajarvi · Missed · xG 0.02O. Lindberg · On goal · xG 0.02A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.02M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gibbons · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00M. Veronneau · On goal · xG 0.00C. Jaros · On goal · xG 0.00C. Jaros · Missed · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 1.8 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsOTT
2.63 G
All situations
2 G1.8
1.23 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA41%59%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.36 – 1.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsOTT
34
Shots on goal
30
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
19
14
Blocked shots
11
10
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000+130.03114—24:29
2J. BrownD000+110.06120—22:14
3K. YandleD011020.05202—21:25
13M. PysykD000+120.03420—20:35
16A. BarkovC022+210.020105920:30
11J. HuberdeauL202+261.1300010018:34
52M. WeegarD000+220.06040—17:19
63E. DadonovL123+210.12000—16:02
21V. TrocheckC000010.013105615:46
15R. SheahanC011+210.001005414:38
68M. HoffmanC000020.26010014:28
72F. VatranoR000-110.01200—13:48
22T. BrouwerR101+220.17102—13:29
25B. KeeperD000+110.04210—12:40
8J. HawrylukR000010.06200—12:34
62D. MalginC000-130.10110012:02
95H. BorgstromC000-100.000003311:41
73D. HuntL112+240.41400—11:32
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1R. Luongo(W)30282.9331.82-0.1860:00

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).