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Senators at Panthers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸3
Florida Panthers
2
FinalTV FS-F, TSN5·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Florida Panthers 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Senators led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rudolfs Balcers's goal at 17:25 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 49% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.7 to 2.5; shots on goal were OTT 33, FLA 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Anders Nilsson stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Roberto Luongo stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Rudolfs Balcers (1 G), 2. Riley Sheahan (1 A), 3. Aleksander Barkov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    R. Balcers1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    R. Sheahan1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT11121408333
FLAFLA21301009232

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    Z. Smith(7)
    J. Pageau (5), M. Paajarvi (4)
    slapxG 0.34win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:10
  2. FLA
    A. Barkov(28)
    M. Pysyk (9), K. Yandle (43)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:02
  3. FLA
    T. Brouwer(9)
    R. Sheahan (7)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    15:36

2nd period

  1. OTT
    B. Gibbons(3)
    C. Ceci (17), C. White (21)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    5:06
  2. OTT
    R. Balcers(4)PPG
    D. DeMelo (12), C. Wolanin (3)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +21 pts
    3-2
    17:25

Penalties

OTT 4 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

2nd

  • 15:36FLAJonathan Huberdeau · High stickingdrawn by Bobby Ryan2 min

3rd

  • 6:06FLAIan McCoshen · Broken stick2 min
  • 10:08OTTOscar Lindberg · Trippingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 14:47FLAMike Hoffman · Trippingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
  • 17:12OTTThomas Chabot · Trippingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalOTT goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Rudolfs Balcers, 2nd 17:25 — OTT 49% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.29F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.19M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.16E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.16H. Borgstrom · On goal · xG 0.14F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.12J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.12E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.12R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.11T. Brouwer · Goal · xG 0.11J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.10F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.08J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.08J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.07J. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.07M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.07A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.06A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04I. McCoshen · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03I. McCoshen · Missed · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01J. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sheahan · Missed · xG 0.00
FLA2 G · 2.5 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsFLA
3.73 G
All situations
2 G2.5
2.62 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT55%45%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.76 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsFLA
33
Shots on goal
32
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
30
Hits
21
16
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
15
11
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5C. CeciD011+120.07410—22:57
2D. DeMeloD011020.09130—22:56
72T. ChabotD000020.17122—22:40
15Z. SmithC101050.423003620:00
71C. TierneyC000-120.082007519:07
86C. WolaninD011+110.00020—19:01
38R. BalcersL101-120.40100—18:00
67B. HarpurD000-110.83220—17:05
56M. PaajarviL011+140.2711010016:45
44J. PageauC011030.470203316:11
36C. WhiteC011+100.001102715:43
9B. RyanR000-210.2900010015:17
74M. BorowieckiD000-110.02510—14:41
7B. TkachukL000+120.08400—13:11
24O. LindbergL000000.082022011:08
89M. BoedkerL000010.02200—11:02
10A. DuclairL000020.09000—10:28
17B. GibbonsC101+120.34110009:48
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Nilsson(W)32302.9382.54+0.5460:00

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).