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Oilers at Golden Knights
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
3
Vegas Golden Knights
▸6
FinalTV NBCSN, SNW·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-3. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Marchessault's goal at 0:40 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 76% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.1 to 1.6; shots on goal were EDM 19, VGK 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 87% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 28 of 34 (.824), 1.9 goals below expected; Malcolm Subban stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Marchessault (2 G), 2. Mark Stone (1 G), 3. William Karlsson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    M. Stone1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM171616319
VGKVGK21411139634

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(31)
    W. Karlsson (26)
    snapxG 0.30win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:40
  2. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(23)PPG
    C. McDavid (68), O. Klefbom (17)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    13:14
  3. VGK
    C. Eakin(18)
    T. Nosek (9), R. Carpenter (12)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    19:05

2nd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(43)
    C. McDavid (69)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    0:22
  2. VGK
    J. Marchessault(21)
    W. Karlsson (27), R. Smith (29)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    2-3
    2:12

3rd period

  1. VGK
    J. Marchessault(22)
    R. Smith (30)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    0:40
  2. EDM
    K. Russell(3)
    S. Gagner (5), J. Khaira (15)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    3-4
    5:52
  3. VGK
    B. McNabb(4)
    S. Theodore (23), R. Reaves (10)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    3-5
    9:45
  4. VGK
    A. Tuch(19)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.17win prob +1 pts
    3-6
    16:32

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·VGK 2 PIM

1st

  • 11:36VGKColin Miller · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 13:25EDMColby Cave · Holdingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min
  • 16:37EDMLeon Draisaitl · Interferencedrawn by William Karlsson2 min

3rd

  • 11:38EDMLeon Draisaitl · Slashingdrawn by Nate Schmidt2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalEDM goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Marchessault, 3rd 0:40 — VGK 76% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.30R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.29P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.27P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.19A. Tuch · Goal · xG 0.17A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.16J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.15M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.15M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.13R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.12J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.12M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.11T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.11J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.11P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.10M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.10M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.09J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.09T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.09M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.09R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.07W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.07P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.07C. Eakin · Missed · xG 0.06W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.06P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.06R. Carpenter · Missed · xG 0.06M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.06M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.05R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.05P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.04C. Eakin · Goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.04M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.04T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.04P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.03R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02D. Engelland · Missed · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Goal · xG 0.01D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.01D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.01A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.01R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.00D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK6 G · 4.1 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsVGK
1.63 G
All situations
6 G4.1
1.12 G
Even strength
6 G3.7
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM13%87%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.57 – 4.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsVGK
19
Shots on goal
34
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
31
Hits
26
13
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
3
5
Takeaways
20

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC022-110.131203322:44
25D. NurseD000-200.00510—22:35
4K. RussellD101-210.01320—22:22
29L. DraisaitlC101-310.371045321:56
77O. KlefbomD011-140.07000—21:10
6A. LarssonD000-110.07420—19:32
44Z. KassianR000-200.08000—18:35
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC101-220.371002516:46
39A. ChiassonR000-240.27300—16:30
83M. BenningD000-110.03200—16:28
2A. SekeraD000-110.02040—16:15
16J. KhairaL011010.142006014:08
89S. GagnerC011000.021003313:19
22T. RiederL000-100.00100—12:32
27M. LucicL000-100.0021010011:37
12C. CaveC000010.011025710:33
45J. GambardellaC000000.00110008:46
43J. CurrieR000010.00300—08:12
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(L)34286.8244.11-1.8960:00

Season series

VGK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).