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Golden Knights at Oilers
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸6
Edmonton Oilers
3
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-3. The Oilers scored first; the Golden Knights answered. The Golden Knights led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Pacioretty's goal at 3:53 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 47% to 64%. Expected goals were close — VGK 2.2, EDM 2.4; shots on goal were VGK 31, EDM 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.6 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 25 of 31 (.806), 3.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Marchessault (2 G, 1 A), 2. Colin Miller (3 A), 3. Connor McDavid (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    C. Miller3 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK16312213631
EDMEDM210010112332

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(12)
    M. Benning (4), D. Caggiula (1)
    deflectedxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:52
  2. VGK
    W. Karlsson(5)
    S. Theodore (7), R. Smith (5)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    12:57
  3. EDM
    A. Chiasson(8)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (11), R. Nugent-Hopkins (15)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    16:33

2nd period

  1. VGK
    C. Eakin(8)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    2:21
  2. VGK
    M. Pacioretty(3)
    A. Tuch (7), S. Theodore (8)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    3:53
  3. VGK
    J. Marchessault(9)PPG
    C. Miller (7), R. Smith (6)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    4-2
    4:33

3rd period

  1. VGK
    J. Marchessault(10)
    C. Miller (8), W. Karlsson (11)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +8 pts
    5-2
    0:34
  2. VGK
    R. Smith(4)
    J. Marchessault (8), C. Miller (9)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +2 pts
    6-2
    3:04
  3. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(12)
    D. Caggiula (2)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +2 pts
    6-3
    3:44

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 15:44VGKBrayden McNabb · Holdingdrawn by Alex Chiasson2 min

2nd

  • 0:40VGKWilliam Carrier · Boardingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 4:16EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Hookingdrawn by Nick Holden2 min
  • 8:33EDMConnor McDavid · Embellishmentdrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min
  • 8:33VGKMax Pacioretty · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

3rd

  • 15:06EDMDrake Caggiula · Elbowingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalVGK goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Max Pacioretty, 2nd 3:53 — VGK 47% → 64%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.17L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.15A. Chiasson · Goal · xG 0.15C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.14A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.11P. Russell · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.10P. Russell · Missed · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.09R. Spooner · On goal · xG 0.09D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.08R. Spooner · On goal · xG 0.08C. Marody · Missed · xG 0.06D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04C. Marody · On goal · xG 0.04M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.04O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.03P. Russell · On goal · xG 0.03A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.02P. Russell · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Khaira · Missed · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01K. Russell · Missed · xG 0.01K. Russell · Missed · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.00L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.00D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.00C. Marody · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 2.4 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsEDM
2.26 G
All situations
3 G2.4
2.14 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.11 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK46%54%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 2.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsEDM
31
Shots on goal
32
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/2
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
24
9
Blocked shots
24
7
Giveaways
19
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6C. MillerD033+320.08010—21:17
3B. McNabbD000+110.04112—20:31
88N. SchmidtD000+120.13100—19:38
27S. TheodoreD022+120.14010—19:36
5D. EngellandD000000.00120—19:28
22N. HoldenD000000.00110—19:13
71W. KarlssonC112+230.511105018:55
81J. MarchessaultR213+150.212005717:52
19R. SmithR123+110.0902010017:35
21C. EakinC101+120.152002017:16
89A. TuchR011+100.080001716:42
67M. PaciorettyL101030.19002—15:33
41P. BellemareL000+100.000007113:35
28W. CarrierL000050.30202—12:51
75R. ReavesR000020.184006712:17
40R. CarpenterC000010.020004611:30
24O. LindbergL000+100.022005010:45
38T. HykaR000020.06000—10:37
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)32293.9062.42-0.5860:00

Season series

VGK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).