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New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche

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Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the New Jersey Devils 3-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyson Barrie's goal at 2:22 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.3 to 1.1; shots on goal were NJD 22, COL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Cory Schneider stopped 31 of 33 (.939); Philipp Grubauer stopped 22 of 22 (1.000), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Philipp Grubauer (22 saves, 1.000), 2. Tyson Barrie (2 G), 3. Sven Andrighetto (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    P. Grubauer22 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    COL
    T. Barrie2 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    S. Andrighetto2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD0501205022
COLCOL01321219334

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    2:22
  2. COL
    backhandxG 0.00win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    11:05

3rd period

  1. COL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.90
    0-3
    18:26

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:47NJDBlake Coleman · Trippingdrawn by Erik Johnson2 min
  • 8:07COLCarl Soderberg · High stickingdrawn by Steven Santini2 min
  • 12:32NJDBlake Coleman · Interferencedrawn by Derick Brassard2 min

2nd

  • 3:37COLIan Cole · Kneeingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min
  • 7:00COLTyson Barrie · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 16:46COLNathan MacKinnon · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

3rd

  • 3:31NJDConnor Carrick · High stickingdrawn by Derick Brassard2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalNJD goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Tyson Barrie, 2nd 2:22 — COL 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.90N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.22G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.15M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.15T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.11D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.10T. Barrie · Goal · xG 0.10T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.09G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.08J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.08G. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.08M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.08C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.07J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.05T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.04T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.04I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.04S. Andrighetto · Missed · xG 0.03E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.02C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.02M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.01T. Barrie · Goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 3.3 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCOL
1.10 G
All situations
2 G3.3
0.60 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD25%75%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.14 – 2.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCOL
22
Shots on goal
34
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
22
15
Blocked shots
17
5
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD000-350.18220—24:28
5C. CarrickD000010.02022—20:40
6A. GreeneD000000.01120—19:29
19T. ZajacC000-200.080006819:01
16S. SantiniD000020.01230—18:55
21K. PalmieriC000-140.29210017:36
8W. ButcherD000000.05020—17:04
17K. AgostinoL000-110.01210—16:55
58K. RooneyC000010.122004616:28
34E. TangradiL000-110.02200—15:57
56B. PietilaL000010.091003315:42
49J. AndersonR000-100.0010010014:28
68C. WhiteD000-200.01020—14:25
18D. StaffordR000010.00100—14:17
20B. ColemanL000-230.22204—13:32
23S. NoesenR000-200.00300—13:06
41M. McLeodC000-120.020009011:54
15N. LappinR000000.0000010010:54
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35C. Schneider(L)33312.9392.44+0.4459:09

Season series

COL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).