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NHL

Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
New Jersey Devils
3
FinalTV MSG+, ALT·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the New Jersey Devils 5-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Landeskog's goal at 16:38 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 48% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were COL 34, NJD 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.7 goals below expected; Keith Kinkaid stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Gabriel Landeskog (3 G), 2. Taylor Hall (1 G, 2 A), 3. Nico Hischier (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    G. Landeskog3 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    T. Hall1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    N. Hischier1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL012210312534
NJDNJD1619115330

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    N. Hischier(1)PPG
    T. Zajac (2), T. Hall (5)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    17:42

2nd period

  1. COL
    S. Andrighetto(1)
    A. Kerfoot (5), I. Cole (2)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    1:17
  2. COL
    G. Landeskog(3)PPG
    M. Rantanen (9), N. MacKinnon (2)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    7:08
  3. NJD
    T. Hall(1)
    A. Greene (2), N. Hischier (3)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    15:42

3rd period

  1. NJD
    B. Boyle(2)PPG
    K. Palmieri (1), T. Hall (6)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +21 pts
    2-3
    6:22
  2. COL
    G. Landeskog(4)
    I. Cole (3), M. Rantanen (10)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +29 pts
    3-3
    8:08
  3. COL
    G. Landeskog(5)
    M. Rantanen (11), N. MacKinnon (3)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +43 pts
    4-3
    16:38
  4. COL
    M. Rantanen(2)EN
    N. MacKinnon (4), E. Johnson (5)
    backhandxG 0.85win prob +3 pts
    5-3
    19:47

Penalties

COL 15 PIM·NJD 19 PIM

1st

  • 1:08NJDMiles Wood · Hookingdrawn by Erik Johnson2 min
  • 7:07COLNikita Zadorov · Holdingdrawn by Andy Greene2 min
  • 14:30COLNikita Zadorov · Fightingdrawn by Pavel Zacha5 min
  • 14:30NJDPavel Zacha · Fightingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov5 min
  • 17:04COLMatt Nieto · Hookingdrawn by Jean-Sebastien Dea2 min
  • 19:02COLIan Cole · Interferencedrawn by Brian Boyle2 min
  • 19:37NJDKyle Palmieri · Interferencedrawn by Patrik Nemeth2 min
  • 19:56COLNathan MacKinnon · Boardingdrawn by Mirco Mueller2 min

2nd

  • 6:32NJDKyle Palmieri · Interferencedrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 10:09NJDSami Vatanen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 13:22NJDDrew Stafford · Elbowingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 18:13NJDMiles Wood · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min

3rd

  • 4:01NJDMarcus Johansson · Holdingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 6:04COLColin Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalCOL goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Landeskog, 3rd 16:38 — COL 48% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.20S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.14B. Boyle · Goal · xG 0.13A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.12T. Zajac · Missed · xG 0.11T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.11J. Dea · On goal · xG 0.09T. Zajac · Missed · xG 0.08T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.08M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.07J. Dea · On goal · xG 0.07B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.07M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.06M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.05W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.05B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.05W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.04P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.04S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.04D. Stafford · On goal · xG 0.04D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.02M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.01A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.01T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD3 G · 2.4 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsNJD
3.14 G
All situations
3 G2.4
1.73 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.61 G
Power play
2 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL48%52%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 2.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsNJD
34
Shots on goal
30
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/6
Power play
2/5
15
Penalty minutes
19
16
Hits
19
5
Blocked shots
11
2
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29N. MacKinnonC033+250.290023321:42
6E. JohnsonD011+310.02200—21:37
12P. NemethD000-110.01120—20:24
96M. RantanenR134+330.931006720:14
92G. LandeskogL303+350.432005019:53
49S. GirardD000+120.24200—17:47
4T. BarrieD000+110.04000—17:37
28I. ColeD022+300.00022—17:29
34C. SoderbergC000040.340005316:58
13A. KerfootC011010.120006715:47
16N. ZadorovD000-120.11507—15:40
17T. JostC000000.00200014:22
11M. CalvertL000020.05000—13:15
83M. NietoL000020.2000210013:05
91V. KamenevC000010.040106712:36
22C. WilsonC000000.000025012:09
57G. BourqueL000-110.08100—11:59
10S. AndrighettoR101+130.20000—10:33
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)30273.9002.35-0.6559:57

Season series

COL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).