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Predators at Ducks
NHL

Nashville Predators at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
2
Anaheim Ducks
▸3
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-TN·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Nashville Predators 3-2. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakob Silfverberg's goal at 10:56 of the first period, which took the Ducks' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.3 to 2.3; shots on goal were NSH 34, ANA 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 1.3 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jakob Silfverberg (1 G), 2. Cam Fowler, 3. Filip Forsberg (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    J. Silfverberg1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    C. Fowler
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH09010215234
ANAANA281802318

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    R. Getzlaf(12)
    J. Manson (12)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:39
  2. ANA
    J. Silfverberg(20)
    R. Rakell (20), J. Larsson (5)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    10:56

2nd period

  1. ANA
    D. Sprong(12)
    C. Perry (4), H. Lindholm (20)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    13:59

3rd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(23)PPG
    M. Granlund (36), R. Josi (40)
    slapxG 0.21win prob +3 pts
    1-3
    14:16
  2. NSH
    F. Forsberg(24)PPG
    R. Johansen (45), M. Granlund (37)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +8 pts
    2-3
    15:14

Penalties

NSH 6 PIM·ANA 14 PIM

1st

  • 5:26ANAJacob Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 15:48NSHKyle Turris · Interferencedrawn by Carter Rowney2 min

2nd

  • 3:49ANAHampus Lindholm · Cross checkingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min
  • 11:47NSHNick Bonino · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Max Jones0 min

3rd

  • 1:24ANAAdam Henrique · Boardingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min
  • 4:49ANATroy Terry · Holdingdrawn by P.K. Subban2 min
  • 4:49NSHP.K. Subban · Embellishmentdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 7:41ANAMax Jones · Slashingdrawn by P.K. Subban2 min
  • 7:41NSHP.K. Subban · Slashingdrawn by Max Jones2 min
  • 12:36ANAJaycob Megna · Holding the stickdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 13:51ANAJosh Manson · Delaying game2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalNSH goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Jakob Silfverberg, 1st 10:56 — ANA 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Rowney · Missed · xG 0.57D. Sprong · Goal · xG 0.16M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.16N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.14D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.12R. Getzlaf · Goal · xG 0.11J. Silfverberg · Goal · xG 0.11N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.09H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.07J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.07R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.06J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.06D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.06N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.06M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.04D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.04T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.03J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.03D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.01D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.01R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.00N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.00J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.00D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 2.3 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsANA
3.32 G
All situations
3 G2.3
1.90 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
1.32 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH77%23%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.30 – 1.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsANA
34
Shots on goal
18
54%
Faceoffs
46%
2/5
Power play
0/1
6
Penalty minutes
14
18
Hits
25
12
Blocked shots
18
9
Giveaways
14
8
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD011-150.31210—25:55
76P. SubbanD000010.05004—24:39
14M. EkholmD000020.14200—23:20
4R. EllisD000-120.13230—22:58
33V. ArvidssonL000-120.06000—21:51
92R. JohansenC011-120.291004421:02
9F. ForsbergL202-160.96000—20:55
17W. SimmondsR000-120.42100—19:36
64M. GranlundC022-110.310006018:15
15C. SmithC000030.15110015:36
13N. BoninoC000-120.181107515:05
8K. TurrisC000010.140223314:54
11B. BoyleC000010.013103314:43
19C. JarnkrokC000-120.10300009:41
10C. SissonsC000-120.031106309:23
7Y. WeberD000-200.00020—08:47
52M. IrwinD000-200.01000—07:40
55C. McLeodL000-100.00100—03:14
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(L)18153.8331.72-1.2856:26

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).