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Ducks at Predators
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
2
Nashville Predators
▸5
FinalTV NHLN-US, FS-TN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-2. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Bonino's goal at 5:38 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.4 to 1.6; shots on goal were ANA 19, NSH 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. John Gibson stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.2 goals below expected; Pekka Rinne stopped 17 of 19 (.895). Three stars: 1. Austin Watson (3 G), 2. Nick Bonino (1 G, 1 A), 3. Colton Sissons (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    A. Watson3 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    N. Bonino1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    C. Sissons2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA092406219
NSHNSH11321525533

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    A. Watson(2)
    N. Bonino (7), C. Sissons (5)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:04

2nd period

  1. ANA
    A. Henrique(6)PPG
    R. Rakell (12), B. Montour (10)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    2:38
  2. NSH
    N. Bonino(4)
    C. Sissons (6)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    5:38
  3. NSH
    A. Watson(3)PPG
    R. Josi (11), K. Fiala (9)
    tip-inxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    18:36
  4. ANA
    O. Kase(3)
    M. Pettersson (4)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    19:52

3rd period

  1. NSH
    C. Smith(6)PPG
    F. Forsberg (7), M. Ekholm (12)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +11 pts
    2-4
    2:52
  2. NSH
    A. Watson(4)EN
    R. Ellis (11), R. Josi (12)
    snapxG 0.52
    2-5
    18:54

Penalties

ANA 16 PIM·NSH 16 PIM

1st

  • 4:09NSHRyan Johansen · Hookingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 6:36NSHCraig Smith · High stickingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min
  • 13:08ANAJakob Silfverberg · High stickingdrawn by Dan Hamhuis2 min

2nd

  • 2:26NSHMatt Irwin · Trippingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min
  • 11:42ANAAdam Henrique · Hookingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 11:42NSHFilip Forsberg · Holding the stickdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min
  • 12:33ANARyan Getzlaf · Hookingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min
  • 14:09ANAKalle Kossila · Trippingdrawn by Nick Bonino2 min
  • 15:56ANABrandon Montour · Roughingdrawn by Nick Bonino2 min
  • 15:56NSHNick Bonino · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 17:21ANAJosh Manson · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 17:21NSHRyan Hartman · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 17:21ANAJosh Manson · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

3rd

  • 2:47ANAKalle Kossila · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 3:34NSHMatt Irwin · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf2 min
  • 6:09NSHYannick Weber · Hookingdrawn by Ben Street2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalANA goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Bonino, 2nd 5:38 — NSH 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Watson · Goal · xG 0.52C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.23R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.20A. Watson · Goal · xG 0.18N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.13K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.13R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.12F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.11C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.10R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.10K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.09R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.09R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.09F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.09R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.09R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.08M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.08F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07A. Watson · Goal · xG 0.07A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.06A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.06C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.06K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.05N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.05R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.04N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.04R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.03K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.03R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamhuis · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bonino · Goal · xG 0.01R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.01K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.00N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.00R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH5 G · 3.4 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsNSH
1.62 G
All situations
4 G3.4
1.21 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.41 G
Power play
2 G1.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA30%70%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.64 – 2.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsNSH
19
Shots on goal
33
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/5
Power play
2/5
16
Penalty minutes
16
15
Hits
14
3
Blocked shots
10
13
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26B. MontourD011-210.08102—25:43
15R. GetzlafC000-210.050025321:52
32J. LarssonD000020.06400—21:20
28M. PetterssonD011010.02010—20:14
42J. MansonD000000.00214—19:44
67R. RakellR011-200.00000—19:17
17R. KeslerC000-120.102004817:04
14A. HenriqueC101010.330025516:46
33J. SilfverbergR000-120.01102—16:29
25O. KaseR101-120.33000—15:59
37N. RitchieL000000.00100—14:52
20P. AbergL000-110.09000—14:04
21J. DotchinD000010.06100—13:46
46B. StreetC000010.06010011:23
62A. SustrD000-100.00100—11:05
64K. SherwoodL000020.38100—10:44
7A. CoglianoC000000.00000010:40
83K. KossilaC000020.061043810:19
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)32284.8752.78-1.2259:19

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).