Skip to content

Dallas Stars at Buffalo Sabres

FinalTV FS-SW+, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Buffalo Sabres 2-0. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Roope Hintz's goal at 7:29 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.1 to 1.4; shots on goal were DAL 27, BUF 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 35 of 35 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Roope Hintz (2 G), 2. Ben Bishop (35 saves, 1.000), 3. John Klingberg (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    R. Hintz2 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    B. Bishop35 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Klingberg1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL01021007227
BUFBUF013011011035

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    1-0
    7:29
  2. DAL
    R. Hintz(7)PPG
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    2-0
    13:12

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·BUF 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:45BUFMarco Scandella · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:56BUFZach Bogosian · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:14DALJoel L'Esperance · Slashingdrawn by Matt Hunwick2 min
  • 10:40DALAlexander Radulov · Hookingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min

2nd

  • 12:50BUFVladimir Sobotka · Interferencedrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min

3rd

  • 9:23DALAndrew Cogliano · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Okposo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalDAL goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Roope Hintz, 2nd 7:29 — DAL 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.17J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.17T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.15J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.14A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.11J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.10R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.09J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.09J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.09S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.08A. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.08R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.08C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.07J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.05E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.05K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.05C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.03E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.03R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scandella · Missed · xG 0.02C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.02T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.02S. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hunwick · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hunwick · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.00B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF0 G · 2.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsBUF
1.42 G
All situations
0 G2.1
0.91 G
Even strength
0 G1.5
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL36%64%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.43 – 2.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsBUF
27
Shots on goal
35
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
24
16
Blocked shots
4
5
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23E. LindellD000+110.06040—26:18
3J. KlingbergD011020.03100—21:03
45R. PolakD000+100.02240—20:50
4M. HeiskanenD000020.05000—20:25
47A. RadulovR000010.01112—18:54
91T. SeguinC011040.080006918:53
14J. BennL000010.072006717:51
21B. LovejoyD000010.02110—17:14
24R. HintzC202+140.1831010016:50
12R. FaksaC000010.071103616:46
15B. ComeauL011040.21000—16:12
13M. JanmarkC000010.10000015:02
16J. DickinsonC011+100.081004514:00
38J. L'EsperanceR000010.09202—12:17
2J. OleksiakD000000.00320—11:50
90J. SpezzaC000030.310206010:47
43V. NichushkinR000+110.06100—10:24
17A. CoglianoC000000.00002008:24
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30B. Bishop(W)353501.0002.10+2.1060:00

Season series

DAL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).