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Sabres at Stars
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
0
Dallas Stars
▸1
FinalTV FS-SW+, MSG-B·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Buffalo Sabres 1-0. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Benn's goal at 8:39 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.0 to 1.6; shots on goal were BUF 30, DAL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Ben Bishop stopped 30 of 30 (1.000), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ben Bishop (30 saves, 1.000), 2. Jamie Benn (1 G), 3. Linus Ullmark (26 saves, .963).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    B. Bishop30 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Benn1 G
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    L. Ullmark26 saves, .963

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF01006014030
DALDAL1901107127

Scoring

1 goal

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(19)
    T. Fedun (5)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:39

Penalties

BUF 2 PIM·DAL 2 PIM

1st

  • 2:00DALAlexander Radulov · High stickingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 10:06BUFJake McCabe · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalBUF goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Jamie Benn, 1st 8:39 — DAL 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.18J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.18J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.15J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.14M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.12J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.12R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.11A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.09R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.09J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.09A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.08D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.06J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.05A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.05R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.04A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.04A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.03J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.03B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.02A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.02A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.02M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.02T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.01A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.00J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.00
DAL1 G · 2.0 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsDAL
1.60 G
All situations
1 G2.0
1.30 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF40%60%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.54 – 2.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsDAL
30
Shots on goal
27
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
28
Hits
23
10
Blocked shots
19
20
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD000-110.01010—22:53
4Z. BogosianD000-130.11310—22:36
23S. ReinhartC000-110.58010022:22
53J. SkinnerL000030.1902010022:18
9J. EichelC000-120.134206421:55
55R. RistolainenD000030.08210—21:32
19J. McCabeD000010.03312—18:49
6M. ScandellaD000060.10200—17:43
71E. RodriguesC000020.010004415:23
82N. BeaulieuD000010.03200—14:42
37C. MittelstadtC000000.001004314:37
43C. ShearyL000020.05110—14:24
28Z. GirgensonsC000030.03500012:15
17V. SobotkaC000000.000005011:51
72T. ThompsonC000010.16000011:49
22J. LarssonL000000.012006711:37
81R. ElieL000-100.01100—11:11
21K. OkposoR000010.02200—11:05
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(L)27261.9632.02+1.0258:58

Season series

DAL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).