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Los Angeles Kings at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV FS-A, FS-W·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-2. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Christian Dvorak's goal at 10:28 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.5 to 2.5; shots on goal were LAK 36, ARI 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.5 goals below expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Michael Grabner (2 G), 2. Christian Dvorak (2 G), 3. Darcy Kuemper (34 saves, .944).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    M. Grabner2 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    C. Dvorak2 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    D. Kuemper34 saves, .944

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK1909118236
ARIARI21001428432

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    C. Dvorak(1)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    7:23
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    9:30
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.31win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    14:49

3rd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.16win prob +25 pts
    2-2
    3:44
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.13win prob +32 pts
    2-3
    10:28
  3. ARI
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +9 pts
    2-4
    15:34

Penalties

LAK 10 PIM·ARI 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:08LAKJonny Brodzinski · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Oesterle2 min
  • 8:24ARINiklas Hjalmarsson · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
  • 13:53LAKKyle Clifford · Roughingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 13:53ARINick Cousins · Illegal check to headdrawn by Kyle Clifford2 min

2nd

  • 11:04LAKAlex Iafallo · Slashingdrawn by Brad Richardson2 min

3rd

  • 16:14LAKDrew Doughty · Trippingdrawn by Richard Panik2 min
  • 16:14LAKDrew Doughty · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalLAK goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Christian Dvorak, 3rd 10:28 — ARI 52% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Grabner · Goal · xG 0.26C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.18C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.13A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.11C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.11L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.10C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.10C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.10R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.10M. Grabner · Goal · xG 0.09V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.09C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.08V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.08N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.07M. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.07J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.06N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.06C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.06J. Archibald · Missed · xG 0.05O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.05A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.05A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.04C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.04O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.04R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.03J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.03L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.03C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.02L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.01B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01J. Demers · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.00A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.00J. Demers · Missed · xG 0.00
ARI4 G · 2.5 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsARI
3.52 G
All situations
4 G2.5
2.92 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK66%34%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.46 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsARI
36
Shots on goal
32
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/1
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
4
34
Hits
30
15
Blocked shots
19
12
Giveaways
7
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. MartinezD000-120.08230—23:21
8D. DoughtyD022-250.33314—22:28
24D. ForbortD011+220.33220—21:36
81M. RoyD000+140.09440—20:12
11A. KopitarC000-110.031005318:35
23D. BrownR000-130.49320—17:46
73T. ToffoliC000+230.431003317:17
77J. CarterC000000.002006017:01
3D. PhaneufD000-120.05200—16:22
22T. LewisC000-140.171105016:19
9A. KempeR101+120.372004615:27
2P. LaDueD000010.01100—14:08
19A. IafalloL000000.07312—13:55
13K. CliffordL000-110.31412—13:29
38C. GrundstromR101+110.41100—13:03
17I. KovalchukL000-220.11000—12:09
14B. LeipsicL000-220.20200—11:40
76J. BrodzinskiC000-110.01002006:53
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(L)32284.8752.53-1.4759:18

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).