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Utah Mammoth at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV FS-A PLUS, FS-W·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Los Angeles Kings 2-1. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lawson Crouse's goal at 18:25 of the first period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 45% to 61%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 2.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were ARI 20, LAK 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Adin Hill (25 saves, .962), 2. Oliver Ekman-Larsson (1 A), 3. Drew Doughty.

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    A. Hill25 saves, .962
  2. ★★
    ARI
    O. Ekman-Larsson1 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    D. Doughty

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI171706220
LAKLAK0808110126

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    L. Crouse(5)SHG
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    18:25

2nd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    5:56

3rd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.28win prob +11 pts
    2-1
    14:15

Penalties

ARI 4 PIM·LAK 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:00LAKJonathan Quick · Roughingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 16:50ARIBrad Richardson · Slashingdrawn by Austin Wagner2 min
  • 20:00LAKNate Thompson · Boardingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min

2nd

  • 4:05LAKJake Muzzin · Slashingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 15:19LAKJeff Carter · Slashingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

3rd

  • 9:02ARIJakob Chychrun · High stickingdrawn by Matt Luff2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalARI goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Lawson Crouse, 1st 18:25 — ARI 45% → 61%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Martinez · Goal · xG 0.28N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.17J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.16A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.16A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.15A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.13A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.12J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.11T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.10A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.10A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.10D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.09B. Leipsic · Missed · xG 0.09A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.08O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.08B. Leipsic · On goal · xG 0.07A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.06M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.06B. Leipsic · Missed · xG 0.06J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.05A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.05B. Leipsic · On goal · xG 0.05B. Leipsic · On goal · xG 0.05A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04B. Leipsic · On goal · xG 0.04D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02O. Fantenberg · Missed · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.01D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.00
LAK1 G · 2.8 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsLAK
2.22 G
All situations
1 G2.8
1.50 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI38%62%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 2.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsLAK
20
Shots on goal
26
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
24
18
Blocked shots
18
8
Giveaways
17
1
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD011000.13310—21:21
6J. ChychrunD000010.06002—20:07
33A. GoligoskiD000010.05010—20:00
44K. ConnautonD000000.03140—19:53
4N. HjalmarssonD011+100.00010—19:39
82J. OesterleD000-140.17020—19:06
21D. StepanC000030.200203318:47
15B. RichardsonR000000.001325217:30
14R. PanikR000000.09000—16:37
9C. KellerR011-100.00010—15:54
13V. HinostrozaC000010.11110015:44
8N. SchmaltzC101-120.21000915:25
17A. GalchenyukC000-120.381103314:40
29M. KempeR000020.32200—13:49
36C. FischerR000000.11210—12:37
45J. ArchibaldR011+100.00100—12:26
67L. CrouseL101+120.26200—11:33
25N. CousinsC000020.061006411:07
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Hill(W)26251.9622.80+1.8060:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).