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New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers

FinalTV ESPN+, MSG+·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the New Jersey Devils 5-2. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Strome's goal at 8:54 of the first period, which took the Rangers' chances from 68% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 4.3 to 1.4; shots on goal were NJD 21, NYR 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Cory Schneider stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 0.5 goals below expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Chris Kreider (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mika Zibanejad (2 A), 3. Jimmy Vesey (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    C. Kreider1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    J. Vesey1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD040928221
NYRNYR31509210534

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.42win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    4:48
  2. NYR
    R. Strome(9)PPG
    snapxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    8:54
  3. NYR
    wristxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    14:23

3rd period

  1. NJD
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.07win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    2:20
  2. NYR
    slapxG 0.03win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    11:08
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.10win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    12:59
  4. NYR
    R. Strome(10)EN
    wristxG 0.76
    2-5
    19:41

Penalties

NJD 15 PIM·NYR 13 PIM

1st

  • 2:48NJDBrett Seney · Boardingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 5:04NYRBrady Skjei · Holdingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 6:55NJDDrew Stafford · Trippingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 9:52NJDKurtis Gabriel · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Smith5 min
  • 9:52NYRBrendan Smith · Fightingdrawn by Kurtis Gabriel5 min
  • 15:54NYRBoo Nieves · Roughingdrawn by Brett Seney2 min
  • 15:54NJDBrett Seney · Roughingdrawn by Boo Nieves2 min

2nd

  • 6:07NJDKurtis Gabriel · Cross checkingdrawn by Connor Brickley2 min
  • 9:40NYRKevin Shattenkirk · Slashingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

3rd

  • 11:08NJDEric Gryba · Roughingdrawn by Chris Kreider2 min
  • 11:08NYRChris Kreider · Roughingdrawn by Eric Gryba2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalNJD goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Strome, 1st 8:54 — NYR 68% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.76J. Vesey · Goal · xG 0.42B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.23M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.18P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.16R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.15C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.14F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.13C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.13C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.13M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.12J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.11C. Brickley · On goal · xG 0.11C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.10C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.09C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.09C. Brickley · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.08P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.08C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.06N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.06V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.05K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.05P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.04B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.04T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.04C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.04N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Goal · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Nieves · On goal · xG 0.01V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR5 G · 4.3 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsNYR
1.42 G
All situations
4 G4.3
0.92 G
Even strength
3 G2.8
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD17%83%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.41 – 3.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsNYR
21
Shots on goal
34
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
1/3
15
Penalty minutes
13
29
Hits
21
18
Blocked shots
10
13
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD000-100.03020—25:15
13N. HischierC011030.281206020:48
63J. BrattL000-120.09020—20:45
21K. PalmieriC011+130.31000020:15
8W. ButcherD000000.00000—20:04
6A. GreeneD101+130.17020—19:58
19T. ZajacC000-400.081005319:38
16S. SantiniD000000.00210—18:29
20B. ColemanL000-320.096202517:27
44M. WoodL000-330.08130—16:16
2E. GrybaD000-210.01302—15:53
25M. MuellerD000-110.01310—14:03
58K. RooneyC000000.002004013:06
18D. StaffordR000000.00212—12:31
49J. AndersonR000000.00200—11:22
17K. AgostinoL101+120.131205011:05
43B. SeneyL000-110.123045010:05
39K. GabrielR000+100.00207—05:23
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35C. Schneider(L)33294.8793.49-0.5157:38

Season series

NYR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).