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New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers

FinalTV MSG+ 2, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the New Jersey Devils 4-2. The Rangers came back from two goals down. The Devils led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladislav Namestnikov's goal at 13:25 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 52% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 4.8 to 1.3; shots on goal were NJD 24, NYR 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 90% of the time. Cory Schneider stopped 37 of 40 (.925), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Henrik Lundqvist stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Strome (2 G, 1 A), 2. Vladislav Namestnikov (1 G, 2 A), 3. Libor Hajek (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    R. Strome2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    V. Namestnikov1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    L. Hajek1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD21202010224
NYRNYR010114317441

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    16:26
  2. NJD
    B. Coleman(19)PPG
    W. Butcher (21), T. Zajac (24)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    19:49

2nd period

  1. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    18:22

3rd period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.07win prob +25 pts
    2-2
    1:29
  2. NYR
    slapxG 0.09win prob +36 pts
    2-3
    13:25
  3. NYR
    R. Strome(13)EN
    wristxG 0.57win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    19:50

Penalties

NJD 12 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:54NYRRyan Strome · Hookingdrawn by Egor Yakovlev2 min
  • 10:35NJDBlake Coleman · Holdingdrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min
  • 14:16NJDMichael McLeod · High stickingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 17:32NYRPavel Buchnevich · Trippingdrawn by Egor Yakovlev2 min
  • 17:32NJDEgor Yakovlev · Embellishmentdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 19:08NYRLibor Hajek · High stickingdrawn by Kenny Agostino2 min

2nd

  • 7:33NJDDrew Stafford · Trippingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 14:40NJDBlake Pietila · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Henrik Lundqvist2 min

3rd

  • 14:48NJDBlake Coleman · Trippingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalNJD goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Vladislav Namestnikov, 3rd 13:25 — NYR 52% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.58C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.33R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.30C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.17F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.16R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.16B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.15R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.14F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.13R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.13C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.13B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.12C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.11B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.11J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.10R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.10V. Namestnikov · Goal · xG 0.09B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.09C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.09J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.09B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.08L. Hajek · On goal · xG 0.08T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.08L. Hajek · Goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.07R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.06F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.06T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.06K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.05J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.05N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.05P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.05B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.05J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.05K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.04L. Hajek · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03B. Nieves · On goal · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.01P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR4 G · 4.8 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsNYR
1.32 G
All situations
3 G4.8
0.61 G
Even strength
3 G3.1
0.41 G
Power play
0 G1.2
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD10%90%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.33 – 4.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsNYR
24
Shots on goal
41
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/2
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
6
39
Hits
26
12
Blocked shots
9
11
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD101030.18100—23:45
6A. GreeneD000010.01100—22:48
21K. PalmieriC000-130.232105021:12
19T. ZajacC011-200.003207221:00
16S. SantiniD000010.02420—19:39
5C. CarrickD000-200.00200—18:56
20B. ColemanL101-210.094043117:31
8W. ButcherD011-320.06110—16:39
74E. YakovlevD000020.07322—15:42
34E. TangradiL000030.10420—15:25
17K. AgostinoL011-110.02500—14:42
49J. AndersonR000020.28010—14:21
41M. McLeodC011000.002022514:02
56B. PietilaL000030.041026414:01
18D. StaffordR000-310.14002—13:19
15N. LappinR000000.00300—10:06
51B. GignacC000-210.03010009:04
39K. GabrielR000000.06300—06:53
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35C. Schneider(L)40373.9254.26+1.2658:55

Season series

NYR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).