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Philadelphia Flyers at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV NBCSP, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesperi Kotkaniemi's goal at 3:11 of the first period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 65% to 79%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.4, MTL 2.2; shots on goal were PHI 30, MTL 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 29 of 31 (.935); Carey Price stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brendan Gallagher (3 G), 2. Tomas Tatar (1 G), 3. Jesperi Kotkaniemi (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    B. Gallagher3 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    T. Tatar1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Kotkaniemi1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI08010112130
MTLMTL315211014540

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:58
  2. MTL
    P. Byron (10), J. Benn (12)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    3:11
  3. MTL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    10:33

2nd period

  1. MTL
    A. Shaw (16), S. Weber (14)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    2:56
  2. MTL
    M. Domi (33)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +2 pts
    0-5
    6:48

3rd period

  1. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.08
    1-5
    10:23

Penalties

PHI 2 PIM·MTL 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:47MTLTomas Tatar · Hookingdrawn by Oskar Lindblom2 min

2nd

  • 0:24MTLBrendan Gallagher · Trippingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min

3rd

  • 15:27MTLArtturi Lehkonen · Trippingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 18:33PHITravis Konecny · Slashingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 18:33MTLBrendan Gallagher · Slashingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalPHI goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Jesperi Kotkaniemi, 1st 3:11 — MTL 65% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.27B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.16S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.13B. Gallagher · Goal · xG 0.11T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.11B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.09J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.08T. Tatar · Goal · xG 0.08B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.08M. Peca · On goal · xG 0.07M. Peca · On goal · xG 0.07N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kotkaniemi · Goal · xG 0.06M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.06M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.05M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.05M. Peca · On goal · xG 0.05A. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.05A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.05B. Gallagher · Goal · xG 0.04J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.04M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.04P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.03S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.03S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.02N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.02M. Peca · On goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · Goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.00M. Peca · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL5 G · 2.2 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsMTL
2.41 G
All situations
5 G2.2
1.71 G
Even strength
5 G2.1
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI54%46%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.41 – 2.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsMTL
30
Shots on goal
40
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
0/0
2
Penalty minutes
8
22
Hits
19
16
Blocked shots
16
21
Giveaways
19
6
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53S. GostisbehereD011+120.17020—22:37
9I. ProvorovD000-230.20120—21:21
61P. MyersD000+110.07300—20:28
28C. GirouxR000+130.270004719:57
14S. CouturierC000-100.100207518:16
25J. van RiemsdykL000-120.17010—17:58
11T. KonecnyR011+130.20302—17:44
6T. SanheimD000-200.04010—17:32
17W. SimmondsR000-330.29100—17:17
19N. PatrickC000-320.091005016:56
47A. MacDonaldD000-310.02110—16:21
8R. HaggD000-300.08420—15:23
23O. LindblomL000-130.11010—14:51
93J. VoracekR000-120.221005014:49
12M. RafflL101020.213105013:42
21S. LaughtonC000-410.192105013:33
44P. VaroneC000010.001001411:23
27J. BaileyR000010.01120—08:25
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37B. Elliott31292.9351.92-0.0849:27
79C. Hart(L)963.6670.27-2.7310:33

Season series

MTL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).