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Philadelphia Flyers at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV ESPN+, NBCSP·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Konecny's goal at 17:01 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 47% to 70%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.5, MTL 2.3; shots on goal were PHI 24, MTL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 33 of 35 (.943); Antti Niemi stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nolan Patrick (2 G), 2. Travis Konecny (1 G, 1 A), 3. Carter Hart (33 saves, .943).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    N. Patrick2 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    T. Konecny1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    C. Hart33 saves, .943

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI01213310524
MTLMTL012010213235

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.09win prob +22 pts
    1-0
    17:01
  2. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    2-0
    18:34

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +5 pts
    3-0
    7:06
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.22win prob +5 pts
    3-1
    7:36
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.08win prob +4 pts
    4-1
    9:32
  4. MTL
    wristxG 0.30win prob +1 pts
    4-2
    16:00
  5. PHI
    wristxG 0.57
    5-2
    19:08

Penalties

PHI 2 PIM·MTL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 7:09MTLJesperi Kotkaniemi · Trippingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 13:33PHIJakub Voracek · Interferencedrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min

3rd

  • 1:37MTLJonathan Drouin · Trippingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalPHI goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Travis Konecny, 2nd 17:01 — PHI 47% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Kulak · Goal · xG 0.30M. Domi · Goal · xG 0.22M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.12J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.10T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.09M. Chaput · On goal · xG 0.09V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.08T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.08M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.08T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.08T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.07J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.07B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.07C. Hudon · Missed · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.06J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.06J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.04C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.04T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.04J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.03B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.03J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.03P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.03B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.01V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.00J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.00T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 2.3 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsMTL
2.54 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.14 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI33%67%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.42 – 2.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsMTL
24
Shots on goal
35
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
30
23
Blocked shots
18
19
Giveaways
21
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000000.00320—23:58
28C. GirouxR000010.112005621:43
6T. SanheimD000020.02050—21:28
14S. CouturierC011+220.560104720:47
3R. GudasD000+120.04230—20:21
93J. VoracekR011+130.12002—19:46
25J. van RiemsdykL101+130.19100—19:27
23O. LindblomL011+100.00210—18:23
47A. MacDonaldD000+100.00170—17:36
8R. HaggD011+210.02030—16:57
21S. LaughtonC011+200.003004016:40
17W. SimmondsR011+110.23100—15:36
11T. KonecnyR112+130.29000—14:47
53S. GostisbehereD022+210.02000—13:47
19N. PatrickC202+230.210004013:43
12M. RafflL101010.6101010008:28
44P. VaroneC000-100.000005007:56
15J. LehteraC000-110.0520010006:37
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(W)35332.9432.34+0.3460:00

Season series

MTL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).