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Lightning at Flyers
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸5
Philadelphia Flyers
2
FinalTV SUN, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Killorn's goal at 5:13 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 58% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.7 to 1.7; shots on goal were TBL 33, PHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Louis Domingue stopped 28 of 30 (.933); Brian Elliott stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. J.T. Miller (1 G, 1 A), 2. Sean Couturier (2 A), 3. Erik Cernak.

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    J. Miller1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    S. Couturier2 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    E. Cernak

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL31308212533
PHIPHI0701429230

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    M. Sergachev(4)
    S. Stamkos (40), O. Palat (19)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:22
  2. TBL
    A. Killorn(13)
    A. Cirelli (13), A. Erne (9)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    5:13
  3. TBL
    J. Miller(10)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    3-0
    10:23

3rd period

  1. PHI
    O. Lindblom(11)
    S. Couturier (31), M. Raffl (8)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    1:03
  2. TBL
    Y. Gourde(17)PPG
    J. Miller (24), R. McDonagh (26)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +5 pts
    4-1
    7:42
  3. PHI
    T. Konecny(18)
    S. Couturier (32), T. Sanheim (18)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +3 pts
    4-2
    10:51
  4. TBL
    R. McDonagh(6)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.37
    5-2
    19:23

Penalties

TBL 8 PIM·PHI 20 PIM

1st

  • 2:33PHIPhil Varone · Delaying game face off violation2 min
  • 18:59TBLAdam Erne · Hookingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min

2nd

  • 4:00TBLDanick Martel · Trippingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 17:08TBLAnthony Cirelli · Trippingdrawn by Phil Varone2 min

3rd

  • 2:17TBLTyler Johnson · Interferencedrawn by Wayne Simmonds2 min
  • 2:17PHIWayne Simmonds · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min
  • 5:43PHIWayne Simmonds · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 15:19PHIPhil Varone · Trippingdrawn by Louis Domingue2 min
  • 16:11PHIRadko Gudas · High stickingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 19:23PHIWayne Simmonds · Game misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalTBL goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Killorn, 1st 5:13 — TBL 58% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.20S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.15O. Lindblom · Goal · xG 0.11C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.10T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.09N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.08W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.08J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.08S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.07J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.07S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.06O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.05P. Varone · Missed · xG 0.04O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.04P. Varone · On goal · xG 0.04O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.02J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.02S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01A. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.01O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.01J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.01N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.00C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI2 G · 1.7 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsPHI
2.74 G
All situations
2 G1.7
1.63 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL61%39%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 1.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsPHI
33
Shots on goal
30
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/4
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
20
22
Hits
26
19
Blocked shots
15
8
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27R. McDonaghD112+130.41230—22:03
91S. StamkosC011+310.151004221:26
6A. StralmanD000+120.05240—19:19
81E. CernakD000+110.04420—19:12
86N. KucherovR000-110.22000—19:08
55B. CoburnD000+100.01320—19:08
98M. SergachevD101030.02100—17:59
18O. PalatL011+220.18300—17:57
9T. JohnsonC000-230.150023317:48
37Y. GourdeC101-230.110206715:35
10J. MillerC112+230.292002015:14
5D. GirardiD000000.00010—15:01
71A. CirelliC011+200.050025814:19
13C. PaquetteC000000.160102514:14
17A. KillornL101+150.43010—13:28
24R. CallahanR000030.18320—12:11
62D. MartelL000030.2501210010:27
73A. ErneL011+100.00102—07:42
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70L. Domingue(W)30282.9331.73-0.2759:49

Season series

TBL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).