Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-5 in overtime, Alex Killorn scoring at 0:18. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Lightning led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Killorn's goal at 0:18 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.4 to 2.8; shots on goal were PHI 33, TBL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Michal Neuvirth stopped 31 of 37 (.838), 2.6 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 3 A), 2. Steven Stamkos (2 G, 2 A), 3. Alex Killorn (1 G).
Three stars
- ★N. Kucherov1 G, 3 A

- ★★S. Stamkos2 G, 2 A

- ★★★A. Killorn1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
11 goals1st period
1-010:50
1-113:56
1-219:12
2nd period
2-24:36
2-312:23
2-414:54
2-519:51
3rd period
3-51:33
4-54:21
5-58:38
Overtime
5-60:18
Penalties
1st
- 8:20
Tyler Johnson · Hookingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
- 17:22
Travis Sanheim · Hookingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
- 19:33
Anthony Cirelli · Fightingdrawn by Nolan Patrick5 min
- 19:33
Nolan Patrick · Fightingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli5 min
2nd
- 4:36
served by J. Miller · Delaying game bench2 min
- 13:21
Andrew MacDonald · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
3rd
- 14:00
Michael Raffl · Trippingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
- 16:16
Adam Erne · Roughingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
- 16:16
Radko Gudas · Roughingdrawn by Adam Erne2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Alex Killorn, OT 0:18 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.85 G
- All situations
- 6 G3.4
- 2.45 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.2
- 0.40 G
- Power play
- 2 G1.1
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.76 – 3.36
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 37
- 54%
- Faceoffs
- 46%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 2/3
- 13
- Penalty minutes
- 11
- 17
- Hits
- 16
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 8
- Giveaways
- 8
- 6
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
TBL leads 3-0
6@
5OTFinal
5@
6OTthis game
5@
2Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















