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Capitals at Ducks
NHL

Washington Capitals at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
2
Anaheim Ducks
▸5
FinalTV ESPN+, NBCSWA·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Washington Capitals 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Carlson's goal at 17:01 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 26% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.7 to 2.5; shots on goal were WSH 25, ANA 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 34 of 39 (.872), 1.3 goals below expected; Ryan Miller stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Adam Henrique (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jakob Silfverberg (2 G), 3. Ryan Miller (23 saves, .920).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    A. Henrique2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Silfverberg2 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    R. Miller23 saves, .920

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH181908225
ANAANA01629314539

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(40)
    J. Carlson (43), J. Vrana (18)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    4:58

2nd period

  1. ANA
    A. Henrique(11)
    B. Montour (20), J. Megna (1)
    tip-inxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    6:26
  2. ANA
    J. Silfverberg(14)
    A. Henrique (19), H. Lindholm (17)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    14:07
  3. WSH
    J. Carlson(9)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    17:01

3rd period

  1. ANA
    A. Henrique(12)PPG
    C. Perry (2), R. Getzlaf (26)
    tip-inxG 0.18win prob +19 pts
    2-3
    0:37
  2. ANA
    C. Perry(1)PPG
    C. Fowler (9), R. Getzlaf (27)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    2-4
    3:40
  3. ANA
    J. Silfverberg(15)
    D. Grant (5), M. Del Zotto (5)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +2 pts
    2-5
    14:55

Penalties

WSH 18 PIM·ANA 16 PIM

1st

  • 2:58ANAHampus Lindholm · Trippingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
  • 12:05ANACorey Perry · Holding the stickdrawn by Matt Niskanen2 min
  • 18:30WSHAndre Burakovsky · Boardingdrawn by Michael Del Zotto2 min

2nd

  • 19:33WSHTom Wilson · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Ryan Miller2 min

3rd

  • 3:02WSHDmitrij Jaskin · Trippingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 4:36WSHMatt Niskanen · Trippingdrawn by Devin Shore2 min
  • 11:16ANAMax Jones · High stickingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
  • 15:01ANANick Ritchie · Misconductdrawn by Tom Wilson10 min
  • 15:01WSHTom Wilson · Misconductdrawn by Nick Ritchie10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalWSH goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: John Carlson, 2nd 17:01 — WSH 26% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.18R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.16A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.15R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.14M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.14R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.13C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.13N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.12R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.12J. Silfverberg · Goal · xG 0.12D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.11J. Silfverberg · Goal · xG 0.11N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.10D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.10R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.09R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.09C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.09M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.08M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.08M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.08D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.08T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.08C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.07H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.07H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.07D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.07C. Rowney · On goal · xG 0.07D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.05C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.05R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.04C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.04N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.04A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.04J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.03M. Del Zotto · Missed · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.03A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.03J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.02M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.02R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02J. Megna · Missed · xG 0.01D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01J. Megna · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.01A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA5 G · 3.7 xG · 61 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsANA
2.52 G
All situations
5 G3.7
2.12 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.10 G
Power play
2 G1.0
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH30%70%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.44 – 3.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsANA
25
Shots on goal
39
30%
Faceoffs
70%
0/3
Power play
2/4
18
Penalty minutes
16
27
Hits
21
17
Blocked shots
20
13
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8A. OvechkinL101+170.51520—22:28
74J. CarlsonD112030.10110—22:05
92E. KuznetsovC000-110.260001822:01
2M. NiskanenD000-100.00532—21:59
9D. OrlovD000-100.00110—19:03
19N. BackstromC000050.640003018:44
6M. KempnyD000-100.00430—18:10
44B. OrpikD000000.00300—17:45
43T. WilsonR000+100.07201210017:27
20L. EllerC000020.111003615:27
13J. VranaL011+110.23000—15:24
29C. DjoosD000010.06120—15:03
10B. ConnollyR000-200.00110—14:51
65A. BurakovskyL000020.21102—13:25
25D. Smith-PellyR000-110.06020—11:23
23D. JaskinR000-100.02212—11:00
18C. StephensonC000010.110102510:53
77T. OshieR000010.0900010007:10
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(L)39345.8723.75-1.2560:00

Season series

ANA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).