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Ducks at Capitals
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
▸6
Washington Capitals
5
FinalTV NBCSWA, PRIME·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Washington Capitals 6-5. The Ducks came back from 4 goals down. The Capitals led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pontus Aberg's goal at 14:55 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 45% to 88%. Expected goals were close — ANA 2.2, WSH 2.1; shots on goal were ANA 25, WSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 19 of 21 (.905); Braden Holtby stopped 19 of 25 (.760), 3.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Pontus Aberg (2 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan Getzlaf (1 G, 2 A), 3. Evgeny Kuznetsov (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    P. Aberg2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    R. Getzlaf1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    E. Kuznetsov1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA192937625
WSHWSH31128013532

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    N. Backstrom(10)
    A. Ovechkin (13), J. Carlson (23)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:41
  2. WSH
    C. Stephenson(2)
    N. Dowd (3), D. Jaskin (4)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    6:08
  3. ANA
    R. Getzlaf(8)
    R. Rakell (15), P. Aberg (5)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    9:24
  4. WSH
    T. Wilson(8)PPG
    J. Carlson (24), E. Kuznetsov (17)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    1-3
    13:19

2nd period

  1. WSH
    E. Kuznetsov(7)
    B. Connolly (10)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    4:59
  2. WSH
    N. Dowd(4)
    C. Stephenson (4), D. Jaskin (5)
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    13:30
  3. ANA
    A. Cogliano(2)
    J. Larsson (2), R. Getzlaf (13)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    14:31
  4. ANA
    R. Rakell(5)
    A. Henrique (10)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +7 pts
    3-5
    15:26

3rd period

  1. ANA
    P. Aberg(8)PPG
    H. Lindholm (10), O. Kase (3)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    4-5
    7:16
  2. ANA
    H. Lindholm(3)PPG
    R. Kesler (2), O. Kase (4)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +26 pts
    5-5
    9:01
  3. ANA
    P. Aberg(9)
    R. Getzlaf (14), K. Sherwood (4)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +43 pts
    6-5
    14:55

Penalties

ANA 10 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 13:06ANARickard Rakell · Boardingdrawn by Matt Niskanen2 min
  • 16:41ANARyan Getzlaf · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Braden Holtby2 min

2nd

  • 4:59ANAserved by P. Aberg · Delaying game bench2 min

3rd

  • 1:56WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Slashingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 3:41ANANick Ritchie · Trippingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min
  • 6:25WSHDmitry Orlov · Boardingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 8:10WSHDmitry Orlov · Boardingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 12:48ANAKiefer Sherwood · Boardingdrawn by Madison Bowey2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalANA goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Pontus Aberg, 3rd 14:55 — ANA 45% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.16A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.16A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.16N. Backstrom · Goal · xG 0.15D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.11T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.10N. Dowd · Goal · xG 0.10J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.09D. Jaskin · Missed · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.09E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.08T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.06M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.06M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.05D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.04B. Connolly · Missed · xG 0.04A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.03M. Bowey · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.02C. Stephenson · Goal · xG 0.02N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH5 G · 2.1 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsWSH
2.26 G
All situations
5 G2.1
1.94 G
Even strength
4 G1.4
0.22 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA51%49%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 2.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsWSH
25
Shots on goal
32
44%
Faceoffs
56%
2/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
9
14
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
7
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42J. MansonD000+100.05330—27:56
47H. LindholmD112-230.32110—27:48
26B. MontourD000+110.02120—24:20
17R. KeslerC011-110.081005419:58
33J. SilfverbergR000020.15120—19:05
15R. GetzlafC123+130.250122717:53
7A. CoglianoC101+130.25000015:44
32J. LarssonD011+110.03100—15:24
14A. HenriqueC011+100.000104615:18
37N. RitchieL000010.08312—15:17
20P. AbergL213020.20100—15:09
67R. RakellR112-140.31002—14:21
28M. PetterssonD000010.01010—14:10
25O. KaseR022+110.07000—13:25
23B. GibbonsC000-100.07020010:23
24C. RowneyC000-100.001003810:20
64K. SherwoodL011020.31202—08:21
21J. DotchinD000-100.00400—06:55
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30R. Miller(W)21192.9051.53-0.4746:41
36J. Gibson1183.7270.60-2.4013:19

Season series

ANA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).