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Wild at Golden Knights
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸4
Vegas Golden Knights
2
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, FS-N·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Charlie Coyle's goal at 14:29 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 48% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.5 to 3.1; shots on goal were MIN 22, VGK 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Charlie Coyle (1 G), 2. Colin Miller (2 A), 3. Paul Stastny (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    C. Coyle1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    C. Miller2 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    P. Stastny1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN062828422
VGKVGK1511908232

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    A. Tuch(16)PPG
    J. Marchessault (18), C. Miller (18)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    3:37

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Foligno(4)
    J. Eriksson Ek (5), N. Seeler (3)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    9:09
  2. MIN
    E. Staal(15)
    J. Greenway (7), R. Suter (26)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    10:22
  3. VGK
    M. Pacioretty(14)
    P. Stastny (11), C. Miller (19)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    12:36

3rd period

  1. MIN
    C. Coyle(8)
    J. Spurgeon (21), E. Staal (18)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +39 pts
    3-2
    14:29
  2. MIN
    M. Koivu(7)EN
    Z. Parise (23)
    backhandxG 0.94win prob +3 pts
    4-2
    19:47

Penalties

MIN 10 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:40MINMikael Granlund · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Carpenter2 min
  • 11:11MINVictor Rask · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 17:35VGKBrandon Pirri · Holdingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min

2nd

  • 14:38MINJason Zucker · Slashingdrawn by Tomas Nosek2 min

3rd

  • 0:15MINRyan Suter · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 1:04MINMarcus Foligno · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:04VGKPaul Stastny · Hookingdrawn by Jared Spurgeon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalMIN goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Charlie Coyle, 3rd 14:29 — MIN 48% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.29A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.25B. Pirri · Missed · xG 0.22B. Pirri · Missed · xG 0.22B. Pirri · On goal · xG 0.20M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.18W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.15M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.14A. Tuch · Goal · xG 0.14T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.13W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.13B. Pirri · Missed · xG 0.11B. Pirri · Missed · xG 0.11O. Lindberg · On goal · xG 0.09J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.07C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.07O. Lindberg · Missed · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.07P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.06O. Lindberg · On goal · xG 0.05T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.05C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.04T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.04P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.04B. Pirri · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.03O. Lindberg · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.02R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.02R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pirri · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.01T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK2 G · 3.5 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsVGK
3.13 G
All situations
2 G3.5
1.93 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN28%72%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 3.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsVGK
22
Shots on goal
32
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
27
Hits
41
19
Blocked shots
18
5
Giveaways
9
10
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
46J. SpurgeonD011+310.25140—28:46
20R. SuterD011+300.00322—28:45
25J. BrodinD000-110.01030—21:21
9M. KoivuC101+131.150204419:36
12E. StaalC112+220.222003318:36
11Z. PariseL011+110.21230—18:01
64M. GranlundC000+120.190022017:43
3C. CoyleC101+220.364103016:39
16J. ZuckerL000010.16712—14:30
49V. RaskC000010.051026114:13
18J. GreenwayL011+120.08010—13:58
26P. AbergL000000.00000—13:38
29G. PaterynD000+100.00300—13:19
47L. BelpedioD000-100.00110—12:41
36N. SeelerD011+100.00200—12:19
17M. FolignoL101+140.39012—09:17
14J. Eriksson EkC011010.030004009:03
19L. KuninC000010.02100008:38
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(W)32302.9383.48+1.4860:00

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).