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Senators at Sharks
NHL

Ottawa Senators at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
1
San Jose Sharks
▸4
FinalTV NBCSCA, CBC·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Ottawa Senators 4-1. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joe Pavelski's goal at 17:57 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 3.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were OTT 28, SJS 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Anders Nilsson stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Martin Jones stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brent Burns (1 G, 1 A), 2. Joe Pavelski (1 G), 3. Martin Jones (27 saves, .964).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    B. Burns1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    J. Pavelski1 G
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    M. Jones27 saves, .964

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT06010112128
SJSSJS06112314432

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. SJS
    J. Pavelski(26)
    T. Hertl (22), B. Dillon (12)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +22 pts
    0-1
    17:57

3rd period

  1. SJS
    B. Burns(9)
    J. Braun (9), K. Labanc (22)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    6:17
  2. OTT
    R. Dzingel(18)
    B. Ryan (19), Z. Smith (11)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    6:44
  3. SJS
    J. Thornton(9)
    T. Meier (23), B. Burns (43)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    15:43
  4. SJS
    M. Karlsson(8)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.51
    1-4
    18:39

Penalties

OTT 2 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

2nd

  • 2:36SJSBarclay Goodrow · Trippingdrawn by Bobby Ryan2 min
  • 14:13SJSTim Heed · Trippingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

3rd

  • 9:44SJSJoe Pavelski · Slashingdrawn by Chris Tierney2 min
  • 13:26OTTChristian Jaros · Holdingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalOTT goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Joe Pavelski, 2nd 17:57 — SJS 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.51L. Radil · On goal · xG 0.43L. Radil · On goal · xG 0.23J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.15J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.13L. Radil · On goal · xG 0.12B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.12L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.11J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.10J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.10J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.09J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.07T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.07E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.07T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.06J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.06E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.05T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.04L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04J. Thornton · Goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Goal · xG 0.01M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.00L. Radil · On goal · xG 0.00B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS4 G · 3.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsSJS
2.41 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT47%53%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 2.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsSJS
28
Shots on goal
32
35%
Faceoffs
65%
0/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
23
11
Blocked shots
18
13
Giveaways
14
9
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
86C. WolaninD000-130.07100—23:32
61M. StoneR000-120.32000—22:25
2D. DeMeloD000-110.03210—20:55
58M. LajoieD000-120.06010—20:38
5C. CeciD000-120.02130—20:08
71C. TierneyC000-220.190103119:41
18R. DzingelC101-220.26010019:36
44J. PageauC000-200.022005017:09
7B. TkachukL000-170.741006717:02
89M. BoedkerL000020.17200—16:38
9B. RyanR011-100.15120—16:30
15Z. SmithC011+100.022002516:17
74M. BorowieckiD000-100.01520—15:48
83C. JarosD000-200.00102—14:34
38R. BalcersL000030.34000—13:23
56M. PaajarviL000010.01100—11:34
13N. PaulL000-100.003005007:44
90D. ArchibaldR000010.00100—05:34
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Nilsson(L)31283.9032.59-0.4158:52

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).