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San Jose Sharks at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV NBCSCA, TVAS·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the San Jose Sharks 6-2. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ben Harpur's goal at 12:56 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were SJS 38, OTT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 2.8 goals below expected; Craig Anderson stopped 36 of 38 (.947). Three stars: 1. Mikkel Boedker (1 G, 3 A), 2. Craig Anderson (36 saves, .947), 3. Thomas Chabot (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    M. Boedker1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    C. Anderson36 saves, .947
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    T. Chabot2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS08116114238
OTTOTT05312310627

Scoring

8 goals

2nd period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.23win prob +18 pts
    0-1
    7:30
  2. SJS
    snapxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    9:49
  3. OTT
    snapxG 0.03win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    12:56
  4. OTT
    C. Tierney (16), B. Ryan (12)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    13:45

3rd period

  1. OTT
    M. Stone(12)PPG
    snapxG 0.12win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    4:03
  2. OTT
    wristxG 0.42
    1-5
    14:52
  3. SJS
    deflectedxG 0.06
    2-5
    18:00
  4. OTT
    deflectedxG 0.09
    2-6
    19:01

Penalties

SJS 9 PIM·OTT 11 PIM

2nd

  • 3:06SJSMarcus Sorensen · Fightingdrawn by Justin Falk5 min
  • 3:06OTTJustin Falk · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Sorensen5 min
  • 5:26SJSEvander Kane · Trippingdrawn by Bobby Ryan2 min
  • 7:47OTTCody Ceci · Hookingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min
  • 9:23OTTTom Pyatt · Trippingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 19:32OTTMark Stone · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 3:01SJSserved by K. Labanc · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalSJS goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Ben Harpur, 2nd 12:56 — OTT 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Paajarvi · Goal · xG 0.42R. Dzingel · Goal · xG 0.23R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.19R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.15M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.12B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.12B. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.09M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.09M. Boedker · Goal · xG 0.09M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.09M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.09R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.06C. White · Missed · xG 0.06D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.06C. White · On goal · xG 0.05D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.03D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.03D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.03B. Harpur · Goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.02D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.02C. White · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Falk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01
OTT6 G · 2.6 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsOTT
2.32 G
All situations
5 G2.6
1.91 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS52%48%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 2.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsOTT
38
Shots on goal
27
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/3
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
16
Hits
26
14
Blocked shots
22
14
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000-290.19110—24:55
44M. VlasicD000-230.17030—21:04
61J. BraunD000-210.03520—20:33
88B. BurnsD011-340.07100—19:41
8J. PavelskiC011-330.480107619:29
9E. KaneL000-360.230027119:14
62K. LabancR000-120.18100—17:39
39L. CoutureC000-210.11220017:20
47J. RyanD011000.00010—16:51
48T. HertlC000-220.161004416:42
27J. DonskoiR000-100.07000—15:56
4B. DillonD011+120.03200—15:16
19J. ThorntonC101020.340007114:18
23B. GoodrowC101020.171206712:57
68M. KarlssonC000000.00000012:19
40A. SuomelaC000-100.000103312:13
20M. SorensenL000-100.0511510011:37
52L. RadilC000+110.01100009:07
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(L)26215.8082.22-2.7859:47

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).