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Blues at Stars
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸3
Dallas Stars
1
FinalTV FS-MW, FS-SW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Dallas Stars 3-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrick Maroon's goal at 9:54 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 59% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.3 to 1.4; shots on goal were STL 28, DAL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 21 of 22 (.955); Ben Bishop stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Vladimir Tarasenko (2 G), 2. Oskar Sundqvist (2 A), 3. Jay Bouwmeester.

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    O. Sundqvist2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Bouwmeester

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL21007111328
DALDAL0100814122

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    V. Tarasenko(13)
    J. Schwartz (15), C. Parayko (4)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:34
  2. STL
    P. Maroon(4)
    O. Sundqvist (5), R. Bortuzzo (5)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    9:54

3rd period

  1. DAL
    E. Condra(1)
    M. Janmark (12), J. Klingberg (16)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    8:35
  2. STL
    V. Tarasenko(14)PPG
    D. Perron (17), O. Sundqvist (6)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    12:38

Penalties

STL 2 PIM·DAL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 10:23STLJoel Edmundson · Holdingdrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min
  • 11:44DALRadek Faksa · Interferencedrawn by Colton Parayko2 min

3rd

  • 11:52DALJason Spezza · Interferencedrawn by Colton Parayko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalSTL goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Patrick Maroon, 1st 9:54 — STL 59% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.21R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.16T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.11V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.10M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.09J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.09E. Condra · Goal · xG 0.08V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.06J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.06J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.05R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02E. Condra · Missed · xG 0.02E. Condra · On goal · xG 0.02R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.00J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.00T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL1 G · 1.4 xG · 26 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsDAL
2.33 G
All situations
1 G1.4
1.32 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 59 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL62%38%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.92 – 1.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsDAL
28
Shots on goal
22
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
26
13
Blocked shots
13
12
Giveaways
32
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19J. BouwmeesterD000+210.02110—25:16
55C. ParaykoD011+230.04120—25:02
27A. PietrangeloD000010.02230—24:06
90R. O'ReillyC000040.410004421:40
10B. SchennC000010.502206521:06
17J. SchwartzL011040.36000—21:05
6J. EdmundsonD000000.00022—21:00
91V. TarasenkoR202030.20200—19:34
57D. PerronL011010.23010—19:09
70O. SundqvistC022+120.071002017:32
12Z. SanfordL000020.15210—15:36
41R. BortuzzoD011-100.00000—11:19
29V. DunnD000-110.07110—11:16
7P. MaroonL101+130.21100—10:52
15R. FabbriC000+110.03000009:52
49I. BarbashevL000000.00000—09:49
9S. BlaisL000010.02100—06:54
62M. MacEachernL000000.00100—06:52
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)22211.9551.39+0.3960:00

Season series

DAL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).