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Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV FS-MW, FS-SW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the St. Louis Blues 3-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Klingberg's goal at 1:43 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 66% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.6 to 2.8; shots on goal were DAL 17, STL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Jake Allen stopped 14 of 17 (.824), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Seguin (2 G, 1 A), 2. Ben Bishop (26 saves, .963), 3. David Perron (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    T. Seguin2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    B. Bishop26 saves, .963
  3. ★★★
    STL
    D. Perron1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL162902317
STLSTL04111012127

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    11:27

2nd period

  1. DAL
    slapxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    1:43
  2. DAL
    snapxG 0.03win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    6:12
  3. STL
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    6:35

Penalties

DAL 4 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:34DALConnor Carrick · High stickingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
  • 5:31DALConnor Carrick · Holdingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

2nd

  • 0:08STLRobert Bortuzzo · Kneeingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 0:33STLZachary Sanford · Slashingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalDAL goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: John Klingberg, 2nd 1:43 — DAL 66% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.18V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.17R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.16B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.16B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.15O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.12V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.12C. Gunnarsson · On goal · xG 0.11V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.11S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.09B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.09R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.09B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.09J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.08R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.07C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.07C. Gunnarsson · Missed · xG 0.06B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.05O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.05C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.04D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.01O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.01R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.00V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.00
STL1 G · 2.8 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsSTL
3.63 G
All situations
1 G2.8
1.72 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL41%59%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 2.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsSTL
17
Shots on goal
27
60%
Faceoffs
40%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
25
23
Blocked shots
10
9
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23E. LindellD000+110.02030—27:05
45R. PolakD011010.44100—25:12
3J. KlingbergD112+120.24000—22:56
4M. HeiskanenD011000.00010—21:26
91T. SeguinC213+220.473105018:27
14J. BennL000+210.701406718:09
47A. RadulovR022+200.00020—18:00
12R. FaksaC000000.111105416:35
90J. SpezzaC000-110.011008115:43
43V. NichushkinR000010.05210—15:00
42T. FedunD000010.04030—14:36
18T. PitlickC000000.00120013:49
27E. CondraR000-120.18000—13:48
15B. ComeauL000000.00220—12:51
13M. JanmarkC000030.88100012:49
17D. ShoreC000-110.11330012:11
24R. HintzC000010.311003310:36
5C. CarrickD000000.00004—06:47
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30B. Bishop(W)27261.9632.78+1.7860:00

Season series

DAL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).